College educated white voters could doom Trump in OH/PA

[HillOfANight]

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/college-educated-white-voters-could-spell-trouble-trump-n601156

Trump has a 23 point edge among non college whites, 2 points better than Romney.
He trails Clinton by 1 among college educated whites, a major reversal from Romney winning CEW by 12.

In 2012, Mitt Romney won all the counties below, some by very large margins. But Trump's troubles with college-educated whites suggest he could be in danger of losing some of them - Chester was very close - and seeing much closer margins in the others.

[pbrower2a]

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/college-educated-white-voters-could-spell-trouble-trump-n601156

Trump has a 23 point edge among non college whites, 2 points better than Romney.
He trails Clinton by 1 among college educated whites, a major reversal from Romney winning CEW by 12.

In 2012, Mitt Romney won all the counties below, some by very large margins. But Trump's troubles with college-educated whites suggest he could be in danger of losing some of them - Chester was very close - and seeing much closer margins in the others.

If this tendency also appears among college-educated whites in Arizona, Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, and Texas -- then we could see a Clinton landslide that resembles those that Eisenhower got in the 1950s. Ike did very well among the college-educated; there just weren't as many of them.   

Anti-intellectualism directed against a wayward college professor, screen actor, artist, or writer can be popular. Against some kid who wants to attend college and join one of the largest professions (K-12 teaching) trashes millions of votes. 

[Ljube]

Look, this is a consequence of the fact that at least a quarter of reliably Republican voters are still anti-Trump. We must give them more time.

I expect that the polls will continue to be volatile until shortly before the election.

[Holmes]

Chester's the only county in that list that I'd be confident in saying Clinton would win. The margin will be closer in some, sure, but I bet Delaware and Butler will have the smallest swings.

[SillyAmerican]

Look, this is a consequence of the fact that at least a quarter of reliably Republican voters are still anti-Trump. We must give them more time.

I expect that the polls will continue to be volatile until shortly before the election.

Yes. Any reasonable person, college educated or not, white or non-white, when casting a ballot for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, will do so as a result of the culmination of a number of different factors. There is a reason we go through this election process, and there is a reason people shouldn't be dismissing candidates in June of an election year.

[ProudModerate2]

Look, this is a consequence of the fact that at least a quarter of reliably Republican voters are still anti-Trump. We must give them more time.
I expect that the polls will continue to be volatile until shortly before the election.

Yes let's "give them more time" ..... more time for even additional Republicans to smart-up and become "anti-trump."

[IceSpear]

Hillary should definitely flip Chester and Berks. Trump's path to victory is dominating in the West and the Sticks.