What is Pennsylvania's electoral status?
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  What is Pennsylvania's electoral status?
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Question: What is Pennsylvania's electoral status in the general election?
#1
Safe Democrat
#2
Likely Democrat
#3
Lean Democrat
#4
Tossup
#5
Lean Republican
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Likely Republican
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Author Topic: What is Pennsylvania's electoral status?  (Read 1232 times)
AGA
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Junior Chimp
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« on: June 29, 2016, 10:23:10 PM »

In the 2016 presidential election, how likely is it for either candidate to win Pennsylvania?
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Higgs
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« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2016, 10:34:23 PM »

Pure Tossup
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2 on: June 29, 2016, 10:58:07 PM »

Likely D
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #3 on: June 29, 2016, 11:03:04 PM »

If the race is close, tossup.

As it stands now, likely D.
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: June 29, 2016, 11:20:23 PM »

Lean D.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #5 on: June 29, 2016, 11:25:43 PM »

Leans Democrat, whoever wins it wins the election.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #6 on: June 29, 2016, 11:32:08 PM »

If the race is close, tossup.

As it stands now, likely D.
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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #7 on: June 29, 2016, 11:45:36 PM »

Lean D
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #8 on: June 30, 2016, 12:06:25 AM »

Lean Democrat in a 50-50 election. See 2000 and 2004 elections  to show what Pennsylvania really is.

Lowest-hanging fruit, except perhaps Wisconsin,  behind the Blue Wall of states that have not gone for a Republican since at least 1988. 
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #9 on: June 30, 2016, 12:09:25 AM »

Cmon people. Lean D.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #10 on: June 30, 2016, 12:17:09 AM »

Right now?

Tossup/Slight Lean D. Likely Clinton win of around 3-5 points. Not quite in the lean camp as I define it. Ultimately, I still think it's a teaser state for Trump and the Republicans (although not as bad as NJ, WI and OR).
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Ljube
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« Reply #11 on: June 30, 2016, 12:27:59 AM »

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anthonyjg
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« Reply #12 on: June 30, 2016, 02:16:32 AM »

I still think it's a teaser state for Trump and the Republicans
I second this, it's the GOPs version of Georgia
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Ronnie
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« Reply #13 on: June 30, 2016, 03:37:55 AM »

Safe Hillary, just like every other "battleground" state.
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Skye
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« Reply #14 on: June 30, 2016, 05:28:54 AM »

Lean D. For now.
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Consciously Unconscious
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« Reply #15 on: June 30, 2016, 05:37:15 AM »

Tossup, though I wouldn't argue against a leans D rating.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: June 30, 2016, 06:05:30 AM »

Likely D
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angus
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« Reply #17 on: June 30, 2016, 06:18:56 AM »

voted likely democrat.

In my sheltered community almost no one likes Clinton, and no one except the public schoolchildren likes Trump.  If the people I talk to are representative of the state then some other candidate will win Pennsylvania.  We all seem to like a different candidate, though.  Some like Mimi, some Hedges, some Smith, and some Johnson.  I suspect that I don't run with a very representative crowd, and that the plurality of voters in the state will vote for Clinton.

I know this:  almost everyone with whom I discuss politics voted for Sanders and we're all glad that he's still out there making trouble for the democrats.
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Desroko
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« Reply #18 on: June 30, 2016, 06:22:03 AM »

voted likely democrat.

In my sheltered community almost no one likes Clinton, and no one except the public schoolchildren likes Trump.  If the people I talk to are representative of the state then some other candidate will win Pennsylvania.  We all seem to like a different candidate, though.  Some like Mimi, some Hedges, some Smith, and some Johnson.  I suspect that I don't run with a very representative crowd, and that the plurality of voters in the state will vote for Clinton.

I know this:  almost everyone with whom I discuss politics voted for Sanders and we're all glad that he's still out there making trouble for the democrats.


Bolded for emphasis.

Likely D.
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skoods
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« Reply #19 on: June 30, 2016, 06:24:24 AM »

Likely D. How many times do Republicans need to kid themselves into thinking it's up for grabs? In every election since 2000, the GOP candidate wasted their time and money there in October because of semi-favorable polling just to be let down in the end.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #20 on: June 30, 2016, 07:02:10 AM »

Tossup/Tilts R, assuming a close national election
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skoods
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« Reply #21 on: June 30, 2016, 08:01:54 AM »

Tossup/Tilts R, assuming a close national election

LOL worthy.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: June 30, 2016, 08:28:44 AM »

Trump has ZERO campaign structure in PA
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Torie
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« Reply #23 on: June 30, 2016, 08:32:32 AM »

PA's PVI might well swing to the GOP this year - as Hillary wins the state easily.
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Higgs
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« Reply #24 on: June 30, 2016, 11:41:19 AM »

I still think it's a teaser state for Trump and the Republicans
I second this, it's the GOPs version of Georgia

The GOPs version of Georgia? You realize Pennsylvania is only D+1
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