When will Trump start leading in the polls?
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Author Topic: When will Trump start leading in the polls?  (Read 1697 times)
Deblano
EdgarAllenYOLO
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« Reply #25 on: July 01, 2016, 02:19:11 PM »
If he is to lead in the polls at all, I expect it to happen between late-september and early-october.

That is when the debates happen and also when curveball events are thrown at the other candidate's faces.

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pbrower2a
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« Reply #26 on: July 01, 2016, 03:07:15 PM »
Quote from: Beef on July 01, 2016, 08:51:10 AM
Trump will lead in a few polls here or there, especially around the RNC.  His rolling average from the number crunchers like RCP and 538 will never get closer than 2 points.

Clinton's lead will grow to double digits at times, but stabilize to around 6-8 points by October, barring terrible economic events or ugly surprises.

That's what I see.

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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #27 on: July 01, 2016, 03:13:27 PM »
Quote from: MohamedChalid on July 01, 2016, 08:49:20 AM
Never. There will be some single polls where he is slightly ahead, but he will never lead in the RCP-average.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #28 on: July 01, 2016, 03:16:31 PM »
Quote from: Thinking Crumpets Crumpet on July 01, 2016, 02:17:31 AM
He'll lead in the week between the RNC and DNC. Unless he has a stellar debate performance or Hillary totally crashes, I don't see him leading after that.

There is no week between the conventions. 
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Human
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« Reply #29 on: July 02, 2016, 09:04:47 AM »
I think he will lead after the RNC.
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