NBC: Clinton 253 Trump 190 Tossup 95 (NV moving towards Trump)

[HillOfANight]

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/first-read-clinton-maintains-edge-new-nbc-battleground-map-n602306

Clinton over-performing in diverse states; Trump holding his own in states with large white working-class populations. The exception, however, is Nevada, where both private and public polling shows a close contest that actually leans Trump's way right now. (Trump's strength is Reno, by the way).



Florida from Tossup to Lean Dem

Nevada / Pennsylvania from Lean Dem to Tossup

Utah from Likely GOP to Lean GOP

Mississippi / Montana from Lean GOP to Likely GOP

New Jersey from Lean Dem to Likely Dem.

[HillOfANight]

The PAC and campaign is spending heavily in Nevada. Unless there's proof otherwise, can't just assume 2016 like will be 2012. If they don't spend at all, this could easily slip to GOP.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/
538 ultimately predicts a Clinton win, but so far, there's only been 2 unfavorable polls for her.


http://axiomstrategies.com/abc/washoe/
There was also that poll from the GOP pollster with Trump 46-34 in Washoe County (Reno).