What percentage of the Jewish vote will Hillary get against Donald Trump?
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  What percentage of the Jewish vote will Hillary get against Donald Trump?
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
85%+
 
#2
84%
 
#3
83%
 
#4
82%
 
#5
81%
 
#6
80%
 
#7
79%
 
#8
78%
 
#9
77%
 
#10
76%
 
#11
75%
 
#12
74%
 
#13
73%
 
#14
72%
 
#15
71%
 
#16
70%
 
#17
69%
 
#18
68%
 
#19
67%
 
#20
66%
 
#21
65%
 
#22
64%
 
#23
63%
 
#24
62%
 
#25
61%
 
#26
60%
 
#27
59%
 
#28
58%
 
#29
57%
 
#30
56%
 
#31
55%
 
#32
54%
 
#33
53%
 
#34
52
 
#35
51%
 
#36
50% or below
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 76

Author Topic: What percentage of the Jewish vote will Hillary get against Donald Trump?  (Read 1394 times)
Human
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« on: July 02, 2016, 10:11:15 AM »

Here's a table showing how Jews voted in past elections:


Donald Trump is an absolutely terrible fit for Jewish voters, and his recent anti-Semitic tweet doesn't help. I wouldn't be surprised at all if Hillary cracked 80% against Donald Trump.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #1 on: July 02, 2016, 10:27:46 AM »

Not above 60-62%. Obama's Isreal policy will hurt Hilldog while Ivanka and her husband will help TRUMP.
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Human
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« Reply #2 on: July 02, 2016, 10:33:42 AM »

Not above 60-62%. Obama's Isreal policy will hurt Hilldog while Ivanka and her husband will help TRUMP.

Hillary is more pro-Israel and neoconservative than Donald Trump, and her daughter is also married to a Jewish man.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #3 on: July 02, 2016, 10:34:32 AM »

Above 70%, definitely. 
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #4 on: July 02, 2016, 10:45:29 AM »

Not above 60-62%. Obama's Isreal policy will hurt Hilldog while Ivanka and her husband will help TRUMP.

Hillary is more pro-Israel and neoconservative than Donald Trump, and her daughter is also married to a Jewish man.
And Ivanka is Jewish too, but Hillary will probably get 70%
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #5 on: July 02, 2016, 10:52:48 AM »

To me, if Jews want support for Israel to be a bipartisan position, they should vote for Hillary Clinton, probably the most pro-Israel Democrat to run in a long time.
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King of Kensington
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« Reply #6 on: July 30, 2016, 10:32:49 PM »

Around 80% for Hillary.  5% or so to Gary Johnson, Jill Stein and others, leaving Trump with the lowest Jewish support since 1992.

Kasich would have gotten around 30%.
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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2016, 10:40:33 PM »

60%
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #8 on: July 30, 2016, 10:45:39 PM »

76%
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Maxwell
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« Reply #9 on: July 30, 2016, 10:47:46 PM »

Interesting thing I didn't know: Romney actually performed very strongly with Jewish voters. I suppose he's a decent fit for those voters.

Trump, however, is not a decent fit, and I expect Clinton to get mid 70s with Jewish voters.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: July 30, 2016, 10:58:02 PM »

Trust me, Trump's not going to do well with Jewish voters. I'll say Hillary gets about 75%.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #11 on: July 30, 2016, 11:04:19 PM »

I think we might be looking at Gore levels of support for Clinton.
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Wells
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« Reply #12 on: July 30, 2016, 11:10:02 PM »

Obama 2008 levels.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #13 on: July 30, 2016, 11:12:37 PM »


Give or take, yes.
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« Reply #14 on: July 30, 2016, 11:15:11 PM »

At least 75%.
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Devils30
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« Reply #15 on: July 30, 2016, 11:22:51 PM »

Closer to 80%, Trump is in the Pat Buchanan mold and these types are awful with Jewish voters. Hillary will get a swing in all of the 3 south FL counties that will win the state.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #16 on: July 30, 2016, 11:26:39 PM »

Not above 60-62%. Obama's Isreal policy will hurt Hilldog while Ivanka and her husband will help TRUMP.
Most US Jews are secular and not as supportive of Israel as their Israeli counterparts.
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dspNY
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« Reply #17 on: July 30, 2016, 11:41:07 PM »

After Trump's antisemitic tweet? He'll be lucky to get 15%. Plus Hillary is way different than Obama with respect to Israel
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #18 on: July 30, 2016, 11:58:25 PM »

mr. religious litmus test will be lucky to top 20%. i'd say hillary at least 80+
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #19 on: July 31, 2016, 12:24:35 AM »

Trump has managed to undo years of slow migration of Jews to the GOP by "re-Other-izing" them with his nativist, racist, bigoted rhetoric.
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Trapsy
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« Reply #20 on: July 31, 2016, 12:34:42 AM »

Hill is so pro-Israel I think it will be 90%+
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LLR
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« Reply #21 on: July 31, 2016, 07:46:38 AM »

79%. I think Johnson might do almost as well as Trump with Jews as well
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #22 on: July 31, 2016, 08:35:12 AM »

Not above 60-62%. Obama's Isreal policy will hurt Hilldog while Ivanka and her husband will help TRUMP.

Most Jews in the U.S. either support or are neutral on Obama's policies regarding Israel.  There is a huge split on this issue between where the money is concentrated (mainly with hawkish folks and organizations to like Adelson, AIPAC, some of the wealthier folks from New York City, Les Wexner, etc) and where most of the votes are in our community (a great example is the Iran deal which was actually more unpopular with Gentiles than with Jews in the U.S. IIRC, probably b/c most Jews here understand that the current Iranian regime isn't going anywhere, so the priority is making sure they don't get nuclear weapons not winning a PR pissing contest).  Stuff like opposing the Iran deal is becoming more and more of a minority position among Jews in the U.S.  Another factor is that for a long time many Jews still felt like guests in someone else's house when living in the U.S. (like we had to be fifty times better to even be tolerated because we were Jews who happened to be Americans), but now I think most Jews living here (myself included) consider ourselves Americans who happen to be Jewish and don't feel the same intense link to Israel that our parents or grandparents do because we already have a home.  Part of the idea with Israel was that we'd have somewhere to go if it came to that, but I don't think most Jewish-Americans still feel like a homeless people.  I hope that makes sense.  As noted above, Trump is a terrible fit for our community.

I could honestly see Hillary getting anywhere from 75-85%, so I'll split the difference and say 80%.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #23 on: July 31, 2016, 08:49:24 AM »

Bear in mind, the median age for Jews is probably higher than for the general population.
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dspNY
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« Reply #24 on: July 31, 2016, 09:12:34 AM »

mr. religious litmus test will be lucky to top 20%. i'd say hillary at least 80+

#NeverTrump is much more prevalent among Jewish Repubs than among goyim. This is the one community where Bill Kristol actually has sway
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