sgpine
Rookie
Posts: 49
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« on: February 16, 2004, 12:14:16 PM » |
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Here's the line people are betting money on for today:
Betting on Bush to lose = Bush gets 63.1% chance of winning.
Betting on Bush to win = Bush gets 65.0% chance of winning.
These are the about levels the lines have been at for most of the last year.
Right before the Iraq war was Bush's lowest levels, at about 58%. That leveled off to about 65%, and then he got a big surge at the end of 2003, peaking around 75%. Since the beginning of the year he's been on a slow decline, however.
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