Misouri and Bellewether Row

[Platypus]

that's pretty amazing, but unlikely to continue much longer if there is a democrat win, Minnesota is moderate democrat; Iowa a swing state; Missouri and Arkansas moderate Republican, and Louisiana a firm but not rock solid GOP state. I think the southwest is where it's at. You win 3 of CO, NM, AZ and NV and you win, i'd say. I'll just go oand check that, but even if it's not a past trend, it's a likely future one.

[Platypus]

yep. EVERY ELECTION since AZ and NM joined, if you've wonm three of AZ, NM, NV and CO you've won.

In 1960, Kennedy won NV and NM, whilst Nixon won CO and AZ, but otherwise the winning candidate has recieved three states, and every time a candidate recieved three states, they won.

[Platypus]

damn, didn't spot that. Still, all but ONCE since NM and AZ joined. That's a pretty important thing, especially considering it's ingreasinly looking like a battleground in the future.

[Platypus]

would you accept that the MN-LA row is a less lkely bellweather then the southwest?

[Platypus]

centre is an acceptable substitute for center, jim. center is an acceptable substitute for centre.