Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Arkansas
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Poll
Question: Rate Arkansas and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Clinton		  
#9
Trump		  
#10
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 143

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Arkansas  (Read 2015 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: July 07, 2016, 07:11:35 AM »
« edited: July 07, 2016, 04:50:43 PM by ElectionsGuy »
Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result: Alabama Alaska Arizona

Ratings



Safe Clinton: 0
Likely Clinton: 0
Lean Clinton: 0
Toss-Up: 0
Lean Trump: 11
Likely Trump: 3
Safe Trump: 9

Trump: 23
Clinton: 0
Toss-Up: 0

Predictions



Trump: 23
Clinton: 0

Arkansas: Safe R, 58-38 Trump.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #1 on: July 07, 2016, 08:31:26 AM »
Definitely not in play for Hillary. Safe Trump. Likely one of the few states where he as a positive approval rating. I guess he’ll win by almost twenty points.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: July 07, 2016, 08:40:39 AM »
« Edited: July 07, 2016, 08:55:11 AM by Gass3268 »
This is a state where I wish there was an extremely-nearly-pretty much-safe option. If the floor 120% drops out for Trump, then maybe this state could be competitive. Still this is Safe R, but Clinton will probably get an old-homestate dead cat bounce.

57-40-3 (Trump-Clinton-Other)

Looking forward to having a Democratic state tomorrow.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #3 on: July 07, 2016, 08:58:16 AM »
Safe Trump.

If Trump only wins 10 states, this is one of them.  It would take a 30-point Clinton national victory to flip, which won't happen given Clinton's negatives.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #4 on: July 07, 2016, 09:07:50 AM »
Safe Trump. He probably just misses 60% while Clinton does marginally better than Obama.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #5 on: July 07, 2016, 09:10:33 AM »
Safe R
Trump wins 58-40-2
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #6 on: July 07, 2016, 09:26:19 AM »
Quote from: Pessimistic  Antineutrino on July 07, 2016, 09:07:50 AM
Safe Trump. He probably just misses 60% while Clinton does marginally better than Obama.


+1
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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #7 on: July 07, 2016, 09:32:56 AM »
Safe R. 57-42-1
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Nyvin
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« Reply #8 on: July 07, 2016, 09:33:23 AM »
Safe R, Trump

The margin will go down from 2012, since Hillary is a better fit for the state than Obama, but I still expect Trump to be in the high fifties.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #9 on: July 07, 2016, 10:08:55 AM »
Safe R/Likely R.

Barring a cataclysm, Trump wins by a wide margin.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #10 on: July 07, 2016, 10:34:31 AM »
The days in which anyone with a D next to their could win Arkansas are long gone. Arkansas is as Republican as they come, and I wouldn't even be terribly surprised if Clinton does slightly worse than Obama. For now...

Safe R, Trump wins 58-39.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #11 on: July 07, 2016, 10:56:20 AM »
Safe R, Trump wins 58-40. It's an end of an era for Arkansas Democrats.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #12 on: July 07, 2016, 10:56:34 AM »
Safe R. Trump wins 59-37. Johnson will do better here than he does nationally, for sure.
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ProgCon
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« Reply #13 on: July 07, 2016, 12:33:29 PM »
« Edited: July 07, 2016, 12:36:55 PM by ProgCon »
Safe R state. This state possesses absolutely none of the demographics favorable to the Democrats.

Trump - 59%
Clinton - 37%
Others - 4%
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: July 07, 2016, 04:23:37 PM »
Quote from: bronz4141 on July 07, 2016, 10:56:20 AM
Safe R, Trump wins 58-40. It's an end of an era for Arkansas Democrats.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #15 on: July 07, 2016, 04:27:21 PM »
I'll go Safe Trump.  56-41  with Johnson doing pretty well in both the second and third districts.
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tinman64
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« Reply #16 on: July 07, 2016, 05:17:45 PM »
Safe R/Trump.

Trump 58%
Clinton 39%
Others 3%
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #17 on: July 07, 2016, 05:22:46 PM »
Safe R
Trump 57
Clinton 40
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Thomas D
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« Reply #18 on: July 07, 2016, 05:45:03 PM »
Safe Trump.

Trump 57
Clinton 39
Johnson 3
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #19 on: July 07, 2016, 06:38:21 PM »
Safe R.

Trump 57%
Clinton 38%
Johnson 3%
Others 2%
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HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
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« Reply #20 on: July 07, 2016, 06:56:26 PM »
I saw my first Trump bumper sticker the other day at work (at the hotel) on a car, and guess where the license plate was from...

Safe Trump
Trump 58
Clinton 39
Others 3
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #21 on: July 08, 2016, 01:19:05 PM »
« Edited: July 08, 2016, 01:22:11 PM by ProudModerate2 »
Safe R.
(Though I almost voted Likely R. The Clintons from Ark, might bring some additional votes for her.)
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President Johnson
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« Reply #22 on: July 08, 2016, 01:25:53 PM »
LOL, who voted Safe D?

Arkansas is TRUMP territory.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #23 on: July 08, 2016, 05:45:46 PM »
If Johnson Fades:

Trump 55
Clinton 42
Johnson 2
Other 1

If he doesn't:

Trump 52
Clinton 38
Johnson 9
Other 1
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #24 on: August 07, 2016, 09:56:04 PM »
The state's former First Lady will not win the state in which she was First Lady. The state's political culture has transformed from populist and slightly progressive for the South to Hard Right. 
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