When was the last time a "lean" or "likely" state went the opposite way? (user search)
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  When was the last time a "lean" or "likely" state went the opposite way? (search mode)
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Author Topic: When was the last time a "lean" or "likely" state went the opposite way?  (Read 3491 times)
twenty42
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Posts: 861
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« on: July 07, 2016, 10:43:20 PM »

We see a lot of safe/likely/lean/tossup maps during election cycles. The "safe" and "tossup" categories are pretty cut and dry...the "safe" states are the Californias and Vermonts that are written in stone, and the "tossup" states are the Floridas and the Ohios that have a very purple history and are usually razor-thin close on election night.

But every election cycle seems to get infatuated with "lean" and "likely" states as well...those states that the other party "hopes to peel away" or "would love to grab." PA is the perfect example of such a state. So when is the last time a lightly-tinted (not tossup) state was "grabbed" by the other party?

Bear in mind, even though we tend to see 2008 Indiana as the biggest election night upset in our generation, the state was still rated a tossup by most networks in real time.
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twenty42
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Posts: 861
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« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2016, 10:42:48 AM »

2016 Pennsylvania, 2016 Wisconsin, 2016 Michigan
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