When was the last time a "lean" or "likely" state went the opposite way? (user search)
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  When was the last time a "lean" or "likely" state went the opposite way? (search mode)
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Author Topic: When was the last time a "lean" or "likely" state went the opposite way?  (Read 3494 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,958


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« on: July 08, 2016, 01:16:53 AM »
Probably Iowa in 2004. Before that, probably West Virginia in 2000.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,958


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2016, 11:31:30 AM »
I thought Iowa had been rated safe for Kerry in 2004.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,958


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #2 on: August 14, 2016, 11:39:14 AM »
Quote from: Attorney General on August 14, 2016, 01:01:48 AM
Maryland in 1988, everybody thought Dukakis would win the state.

I thought Maryland turned out to be not even close.

I don't remember much about 1980, but I remember reading later that Carter was supposed to win New York. Someone told me Nixon was supposed to win West Virginia in 1960.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,958


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2016, 01:08:49 PM »
Quote from: The Mikado on August 16, 2016, 01:04:22 PM
Isn't Indiana 2008 the obvious answer here?

I actually kind of saw it coming.

I remember some polls in 2000 when Gore was +4 nationally, he was +6 in Kentucky. I don't know why he cratered after that.
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