When was the last time a "lean" or "likely" state went the opposite way? (user search)
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  When was the last time a "lean" or "likely" state went the opposite way? (search mode)
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Author Topic: When was the last time a "lean" or "likely" state went the opposite way?  (Read 3457 times)
sg0508
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,059
United States


« on: July 08, 2016, 08:04:41 PM »

IA was a tossup going into EN in 2004.

WI that year could have qualified.  Bush was up the entire summer there into the middle of the fall. At one point, he was polling double digits over Kerry.  But, as usual, the Democrats came home in the end and Bush lost the state, which almost cost him a second term.

The "Backdoor Strategy" had Kerry taken OH was for Bush to win WI and either NM or IA.  As we saw, just NM and IA alone weren't enough.
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