What would things be like if Kasich was the Republican nominee?

[Simfan34]

What do you think? Clinton would be throwing the sink trying to find dirt on him, but until then, R+7.

[Senator-elect Spark]

A lot better that's for sure.

[Xing]

Kasich would certainly be better than Trump, but he's not the invincible juggernaut Atlas seems to think he is. He's somewhat more moderate than candidates like Cruz/Rubio, but doesn't really excite that many non-Atlas voters. A Clinton/Kasich election would probably be a toss-up, once Kasich got put under some scrutiny, and his numbers came back down to earth a bit.

[JRP1994]

40% = lean
60% = likely
80% = safe

[evergreenarbor]

Kasich would probably be leading in the polls by a small margin.

[Camaro33]

40% = lean
60% = likely
80% = safe

This pretty much. Kasich's to lose.

[Kingpoleon]

I think this belongs in Election What-Ifs...

Clinton's campaign would be pretty desperate to win. I think they'd do some underhanded things and bring up CharterGate, the 2011 union referendum in Ohio, and his time at Lehman Brother's. There's a huge file on him at a library in Westerville he has open to the public.

[Crumpets]

That map seems awfully bullish for Kasich's chances. Pennsylvania is typically a lean-Dem state and it wouldn't go to lean R just because the governor from the neighboring state is on the ballot. Remember, Kasich didn't even hit 20% there in the Primary. And even if Trump wasn't the nominee, I have a hard time seeing any Republican getting more that 30% of the Hispanic vote, given what the news has been for the past few months. Here's my map:

Clinton - 233 EV
Kasich - 224
Toss up - 81

[Vosem]

I think the R+7 polls were always somewhat exaggerated, but Kasich really would be leading by high single digits or low double digits in Ohio, and the state would only be on the edge of competition. That would be a very significant blow to Democratic chances.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

That map seems awfully bullish for Kasich's chances. Pennsylvania is typically a lean-Dem state and it wouldn't go to lean R just because the governor from the neighboring state is on the ballot. Remember, Kasich didn't even hit 20% there in the Primary. And even if Trump wasn't the nominee, I have a hard time seeing any Republican getting more that 30% of the Hispanic vote, given what the news has been for the past few months. Here's my map:

Clinton - 233 EV
Kasich - 224
Toss up - 81

You're probably right, but I think for the first time in a while the toss-ups would actually be "true toss-ups" that frequently teeter between the candidates.

In both 2012 and 2016, it's clear that although the margin will be razor-thin in a lot of these toss-up states, the Democrat always held a slight persistent edge.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

it'd be more or less a repeat of obama-romney but probably a bit closer. stays very stable between, say, +/-0 and clinton +4 the whole election

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Kasich would probably be doing well, but I highly doubt that Minnesota would be a toss up.

[Ljube]

Things would be same, or slightly worse for Republicans. Kasich would be doing better in Ohio, though.

[Kingpoleon]

Kasich would probably be doing well, but I highly doubt that Minnesota would be a toss up.

Minnesota's expected to vote to Wisconsin's right this time by 538.

[Devout Centrist]

Kasich would probably have a slim lead in the polls.

He isn't some golden boy who'd skate to an easy victory. Kasich is a conservative through and through and really wasn't attacked during the 2016 primaries.

[Nyvin]

He says a lot of dumb things about women....dunno how well he'd do in the female vote against Hillary.

[ElectionsGuy]

Kasich would be leading, it would be his presidential race to lose.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Kasich would be leading by a pretty good margin an this would be the swing map

[Deblano]

[SillyAmerican]

Kasich would be leading, it would be his presidential race to lose.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Kasich would be leading, it would be his presidential race to lose.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

Kasich would be leading, it would be his presidential race to lose.

Unless Clinton managed to SOMEHOW bring up his time at Lehman without looking insanely hypocritical.

[Kingpoleon]

Kasich would be leading, it would be his presidential race to lose.

Unless Clinton managed to SOMEHOW bring up his time at Lehman without looking insanely hypocritical.

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[ElectionsGuy]

Kasich would be leading, it would be his presidential race to lose.

Unless Clinton managed to SOMEHOW bring up his time at Lehman without looking insanely hypocritical.

She got paid hundreds of thousands of dollars to speak to elite investors. There's no way she'd bring that up.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

She got paid hundreds of thousands of dollars to speak to elite investors. There's no way she'd bring that up.

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Oh trust me, I know. I liked the other guy. Just mentioning it and defunding PP as the only things a Democratic nominee could hypothetically throw at him.