In the event of an electoral college tie, who does the House vote for?

[TomC]

They would vote Trump. Clinton has "many" congressional Repubs supporting her? Really?

[TomC]

If they all vote along party lines, it would be Trump 30, Clinton 16. Iowa, Maine, Nevada, and New Jersey all have split delegations.

If Clinton somehow gets all the split delegations, she'd still need at least 6 Republican delegations to flip in order to win. Michigan, Wisconsin, Colorado, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Florida? It'd be a longshot.

Clinton's best strategy would be getting a faithless elector from DT to switch to her before the EC votes.

Bingo.  And it wouldn't particularly surprise me if she did, or, if it went to a 12th Amendment vote in congress, they just resolve to do nothing so that Ryan can be Acting President straight through to 2020.  Of course, the latter plan only works if Republicans hold the Senate, because a Dem Senate would put forward Hillary's VP, who would take precedence over Ryan. 

If Clinton won the popular vote, I could see an elector or two voting for her. If Clinton wins popular vote and the House just lets Ryan become Pres for 4 years, it's going to be a hell of a four years from both Dems and Trump supporters. This scenario seems way more problematic than delegates dumping Trump at the convention.

[TomC]

If they all vote along party lines, it would be Trump 30, Clinton 16. Iowa, Maine, Nevada, and New Jersey all have split delegations.

If Clinton somehow gets all the split delegations, she'd still need at least 6 Republican delegations to flip in order to win. Michigan, Wisconsin, Colorado, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Florida? It'd be a longshot.

Clinton's best strategy would be getting a faithless elector from DT to switch to her before the EC votes.

Bingo.  And it wouldn't particularly surprise me if she did, or, if it went to a 12th Amendment vote in congress, they just resolve to do nothing so that Ryan can be Acting President straight through to 2020.  Of course, the latter plan only works if Republicans hold the Senate, because a Dem Senate would put forward Hillary's VP, who would take precedence over Ryan. 

If Clinton won the popular vote, I could see an elector or two voting for her. If Clinton wins popular vote and the House just lets Ryan become Pres for 4 years, it's going to be a hell of a four years from both Dems and Trump supporters. This scenario seems way more problematic than delegates dumping Trump at the convention.

Actually, you need a numerical majority under the 12th Amendment.  The VP doesn't get to break ties, so a 50/50 senate just deadlocks indefinitely until someone defects.  I'm looking at you, Collins, Kirk and Manchin.

It's the new senate that votes; Kirk won't be there.