Which states will be won by 20% or more?
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  Which states will be won by 20% or more?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Which states will be won by 20% or more?  (Read 768 times)
TDAS04
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« on: July 11, 2016, 07:16:03 PM »
What do you think?
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #1 on: July 11, 2016, 07:18:57 PM »
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2 on: July 11, 2016, 07:20:04 PM »

Seems about right.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #3 on: July 11, 2016, 07:20:57 PM »
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: July 11, 2016, 07:27:56 PM »

This, maybe adding KY/TN/AR. WA is possible, we hate Trump here, but it's pretty inelastic. I'd say Clinton will win WA by about 18% or so.
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Mallow
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« Reply #5 on: July 11, 2016, 07:29:21 PM »
« Edited: July 11, 2016, 07:34:12 PM by Mallow »


I've also got WA at D+19.8, and NE is pretty close, too, at R+18.6. KS and AR barely make the cut at R+20.7 and R+21.0, respectively.

I am very unsure about NV and NM. I want to go out on a limb and say they'll be close to D+20, but that seems completely unsupported by polling. A huge question mark there is the Libertarian ticket.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #6 on: July 11, 2016, 07:36:37 PM »
For reference, 2012 was:



And according to 538's Polls-Plus Model, it should look like this:
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AGA
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« Reply #7 on: July 11, 2016, 07:45:25 PM »
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Spark
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« Reply #8 on: July 12, 2016, 12:55:28 AM »
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #9 on: July 12, 2016, 01:02:30 AM »


Grn are for states that I think are close to 20% or could be.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #10 on: July 12, 2016, 04:26:35 AM »
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #11 on: July 12, 2016, 08:25:49 AM »
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #12 on: July 12, 2016, 03:26:10 PM »


Light-shades are maybes.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #13 on: July 12, 2016, 04:33:50 PM »
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #14 on: July 12, 2016, 04:42:37 PM »
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tinman64
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« Reply #15 on: July 12, 2016, 04:42:48 PM »
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AGA
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« Reply #16 on: July 12, 2016, 06:27:14 PM »
If Obama did not win Illinois by over 20 points in 2012, I do not think that Hillary Clinton will do it.
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #17 on: July 12, 2016, 07:00:27 PM »
Quote from: Chrome on July 12, 2016, 06:27:14 PM
If Obama did not win Illinois by over 20 points in 2012, I do not think that Hillary Clinton will do it.

I'm predicting a 2008-style landslide right now.
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #18 on: July 12, 2016, 08:45:04 PM »


Lighter color is slightly less than a 20% margin of victory, but close to it.
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