IA-Monmouth: Trump +2

[HillOfANight]

http://www.politico.com/blogs/swing-states-2016-election/2016/07/iowa-poll-trump-clinton-running-close-225409
http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IA_071216/
http://www.monmouth.edu/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=40802209099

Trump 44
Clinton 42
Johnson 6
Stein 1
Other 2
Undecided 6

Women
Clinton 54
Trump 33

Men
Clinton 29
Trump 56

<50
Clinton 32 (not a typo)
Trump 51
Johnson 7
Other 3

>=50
Clinton 50
Trump 38
Johnson 4
Other 1

[Classic Conservative]

Wow, men.

[Holmes]

Ah, summertime. When Iowa loves to tease Republicans before planting itself firmly in the Democratic column in the fall.

[Gass3268]

They have Clinton winning voters over 50, but losing voters over 50. Pretty odd.

[Seriously?]

A gender gap can work both ways. Men don't like Lying Crooked Hillary! that much.

Excellent result from an excellent pollster!

[Wells]

They have Clinton winning voters over 50, but losing voters over 50. Pretty odd.

It is indeed pretty odd.

[IceSpear]

Brace yourselves fellow Hillbots. We may be in for a streak of ugly polls for the remainder of July. There's the email stuff which the polls have yet to gauge the full effect of, then he'll have his VP pick, then the RNC.

Beet, please try to stay calm.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Ah, summertime. When Iowa loves to tease Republicans before planting itself firmly in the Democratic column in the fall.

THE POLLS DON'T MATTER
TRUMP CAN'T OVERCOME A 6 POINT DEFICIT

[HillOfANight]

Wow, men.

They have kids voting for Trump and adults voting for Clinton. Hot garbage.

[Classic Conservative]

Wow, men.

They have kids voting for Trump and adults voting for Clinton. Hot garbage.

Kids aren't voting though. This poll qualifies my parents with under 50.

[Wells]

If Trump is winning Iowa by 2, then he is most likely leading nationally.

Good news for Hillary: more voters think that she "looks out for the little guy" by 8%

[Gass3268]

Just throw it in the average.

[IceSpear]

If Trump is winning Iowa by 2, then he is most likely leading nationally.

Good news for Hillary: more voters think that she "looks out for the little guy" by 8%

They had an NV poll with her up 4 and the 2 national polls are +1 and +3 for her, so it would seem it's tight for now. I expect him to pull ahead after the RNC, provided it is not a complete clusterf**k.

[Xing]

Iowa is a potentially problematic state for Hillary. It's true that polls also showed Romney doing well in IA in the summer of 2012 (and there were articles written about how Romney was sure to win IA), but it's clearly a state she has to watch out for.

[Wells]

If Trump is winning Iowa by 2, then he is most likely leading nationally.

Good news for Hillary: more voters think that she "looks out for the little guy" by 8%

They had an NV poll with her up 4 and the 2 national polls are +1 and +3 for her, so it would seem it's tight for now. I expect him to pull ahead after the RNC, provided it is not a complete clusterf**k.

I am of the opinion that the RNC will be just that.

[Pandaguineapig]

Looks like iowa got a burst of energy and wants to redeem itself

[Ebsy]

The age crosstabs seem a bit absurd.

[MT Treasurer]

Nice. IA might be the first state to flip to the GOP in a competitive close race.

[Tender Branson]

E-Mail fallout.

And especially bad for Hillary, because she spent like 50 Mio. $ already in the swing states to Trump's 0$.

Also funny how she struggles against him, while every other Dem. candidate would kick this racist fu**er to the curb.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

E-Mail fallout.

And especially bad for Hillary, because she spent like 50 Mio. $ already in the swing states to Trump's 0$.

Also funny how she struggles against him, while every other Dem. candidate would kick this racist fu**er to the curb.

Funny, a month ago it was,

"Hillary hasn't even started running ads yet!!! This is going to be a slaughter when she runs ads and Trump can't."

Maybe she just shouldn't...

[HagridOfTheDeep]

I guess this means we can probably move Iowa, Ohio, and North Carolina over to Trump if we're really interested in the current state of the race.

Sigh. The first real shift is happening, and it scares the sh-t out of me.

[F_S_USATN]

I'll be interested in FL, OH, WI and PA polls tomorrow

[Know Nothing]

Poll is probably off but it'd be pretty funny if Trump getting less PV than Romney nationally but still beating him in EVs.

[Tender Branson]

I'll be interested in FL, OH, WI and PA polls tomorrow

Where does it say that those will be released tomorrow ?

[Gass3268]

This poll only has 401 respondents, that's really low.