IA-Monmouth: Trump +2

[F_S_USATN]

I'll be interested in FL, OH, WI and PA polls tomorrow

Quinnipiac- FL, OH, PA
MU Law- WI

[HillOfANight]

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/752510451863416832
CO by Monmouth

https://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPoll/status/752915537521410048
FL, OH, PA by Quinnipiac

[Tender Branson]

Cool.

Add MO (from PPP) in the next few days.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/07/missouri-question-suggestions.html

[IceSpear]

I guess this means we can probably move Iowa, Ohio, and North Carolina over to Trump if we're really interested in the current state of the race.

Sigh. The first real shift is happening, and it scares the sh-t out of me.

Here we go again...you're getting as bad as Beet, man.

Polls ebb and flow. External events are going to effect the race. This fantasy that Hillary (or any other Democrat for that matter) would just coast and be crushing Trump in a landslide the entire campaign was/is a ridiculous wet dream.

I don't know what you mean by "real shift." Were none of the previous massive shifts in the polling "real?" She was crushing Trump by like 20 points in June 2015. Then it became MoE. Then she crushed him again. Then it became MoE. Then she crushed him again. Now it looks like it's on its way to becoming MoE again.

[Ljube]

E-Mail fallout.

And especially bad for Hillary, because she spent like 50 Mio. $ already in the swing states to Trump's 0$.

Also funny how she struggles against him, while every other Dem. candidate would kick this racist fu**er to the curb.

Funny, a month ago it was,

"Hillary hasn't even started running ads yet!!! This is going to be a slaughter when she runs ads and Trump can't."

Maybe she just shouldn't...

[Ebsy]

I guess this means we can probably move Iowa, Ohio, and North Carolina over to Trump if we're really interested in the current state of the race.

Sigh. The first real shift is happening, and it scares the sh-t out of me.

Jesus Christ calm down. One bad poll does not mean a state is going to go for Trump in November!

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

I guess this means we can probably move Iowa, Ohio, and North Carolina over to Trump if we're really interested in the current state of the race.

Sigh. The first real shift is happening, and it scares the sh-t out of me.

Teh sky is falling

[Seriously?]

I guess this means we can probably move Iowa, Ohio, and North Carolina over to Trump if we're really interested in the current state of the race.

Sigh. The first real shift is happening, and it scares the sh-t out of me.

Teh sky is falling

The sky is always falling on Atlas, one way or another.

It's one data point 4 months before an election. Not quite sure why people are freaking out either way. Yay poll. Nay poll.. It will matter for naught a few months from now.

[IceSpear]

I guess this means we can probably move Iowa, Ohio, and North Carolina over to Trump if we're really interested in the current state of the race.

Sigh. The first real shift is happening, and it scares the sh-t out of me.

Teh sky is falling

The sky is always falling on Atlas, one way or another.

It's one data point 4 months before an election. Not quite sure why people are freaking out either way. Yay poll. Nay poll.. It will matter for naught a few months from now.

Yes, I've gotten whiplash from how many times Hillary has went from LBJ 2.0 to Martha Coakley 2.0 on this forum.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Monmouth is the new Gravis.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

If Trump is winning Iowa by 2, then he is most likely leading nationally.

Good news for Hillary: more voters think that she "looks out for the little guy" by 8%

They had an NV poll with her up 4 and the 2 national polls are +1 and +3 for her, so it would seem it's tight for now. I expect him to pull ahead after the RNC, provided it is not a complete clusterf**k.

I am of the opinion that the RNC will be just that.

When was the last time it wasn't?

[pbrower2a]

Iowa was a great fit for Barack Obama, who seemed to know farm policy well enough to win by a  landslide margin in a US Senate race in Illinois. He got lots of votes outside of Greater Chicago -- and if you have ever driven the deathly-dull Interstates of Illinois to the south and west of Chicagoland, you realize how rural "downstate Illinois" is. Iowa outside of Des Moines, Council Bluffs, Cedar Rapids, Waterloo, and the two of the four Quad Cities  is much like rural Illinois, Indiana, or Ohio.

Obama did not do well with rural America, but he did have some good position papers in 2008. One was on the meth epidemic. Farmers were getting their anhydrous ammonia stolen, and the thieves who stole it often left the spigots open, the anhydrous ammonia often spilling over into pastures where livestock were. That killed livestock, basically destroying farmers; wealth.
Obama has been nasty to meth.
  
John Kerry lost Iowa in 2004, and Al Gore came close to losing it in 2000. Need we remind ourselves that Joni Ernst won the US Senate seat in contest in Iowa in 2014? Senator Chuck Grassley continues to lead in polls for the Senate race.

Democrats dare not get complacent about Iowa this year. This state can go R.