NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton tied in OH, +3 in IA, +9 in PA (user search)

Ebsy
Junior Chimp

Posts: 8,001

Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton tied in OH, +3 in IA, +9 in PA

« on: July 13, 2016, 12:40:43 PM »

Quinnipiac is an awful pollster that mystifyingly gets a good rating. Marist is much better.

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp

Posts: 8,001

Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton tied in OH, +3 in IA, +9 in PA

« Reply #1 on: July 13, 2016, 02:00:18 PM »

Quote from: HillOfANight on July 13, 2016, 01:56:38 PM

https://twitter.com/NKingofDC/status/753300478402801664
https://twitter.com/NKingofDC/status/753300478402801664

Pennsylvania white voters:
Trump, 40%
Clinton, 40%

Pennsylvania black voters:
Trump, 0%
Clinton, 91%

Ohio white voters:
Trump, 43%
Clinton, 33%

Ohio black voters:
Trump, 0%
Clinton, 88%

Romney won whites by 16 points in 2012, but Trump is leading by only 10 and this poll is still tied? Methinks the sample might be a bit too white.

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp

Posts: 8,001

Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton tied in OH, +3 in IA, +9 in PA

« Reply #2 on: July 14, 2016, 11:11:37 PM »

Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on July 14, 2016, 11:10:44 PM

Pennsylvania went from being 6 points more democratic than the country in 2004, to 3 points more democratic in 2008, to 1 point more democratic in 2012. Ultimately I think Trump carries it if he's winning the election.

So he's not going to carry it is what you are saying.

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