Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Delaware

[ElectionsGuy]

Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

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Ratings

Safe Clinton: 62
Likely Clinton: 0
Lean Clinton: 9
Toss-Up: 0
Lean Trump: 11
Likely Trump: 3
Safe Trump: 15

Clinton: 71
Trump: 29
Toss-Up: 0

Predictions

Clinton: 71
Trump: 29

Delaware: Safe D, 58-40 Clinton.

[PresidentTRUMP]

Clinton state for sure IMO.

[Sir Mohamed]

Save D.

✓Clinton: 59%
Trump: 37%

LOL at the troll who voted lean R and Trump.

[dspNY]

Safe D

Clinton 58
Trump 40

[Xing]

Safe D, Hillary wins 57-40.

[SWE]

Pure tossup at this point. I need to see some polling.

[Redban]

Devil's Advocate:

Though we don't have many polls for Delaware, the latest poll here (07.13.2016 by "Other Polls") shows Clinton with a modest 6% lead (45% to 39%). In addition, while Romney and McCain both lost by roughly 20%, George W. Bush in 2004 respectably came within 8% of Kerry, which is a small 30,000 deficit in votes. If you consider Trump's ties to the Northeast as well as the current motivation in the Republican Party (vs the current lack thereof in the Democratic party), it becomes reasonable to think that Trump may have a chance in Delaware.

The only question, thus, is whether Trump will devote resources to a state that awards only 3 electoral votes.

[PaperKooper]

Unfortunately safe D

[tinman64]

Safe D

Clinton 56
Trump 42
Others 2

[Senator-elect Spark]

Safe D. 57-42

[evergreenarbor]

Safe D.

Clinton 57
Trump 38
Johnson 3
Others 2

[Gass3268]

Safe Clinton

60-37-3

[ProudModerate2]

Safe D.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Safe Clinton
Clinton 59-39-2

[Suburbia]

Safe Clinton
Clinton 59-39-2

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If Johnson fades:

Clinton 57
Trump 37
Johnson 4
Other 2

If not:

Clinton 52
Trump 34
Johnson 12
Other 2

[IceSpear]

Safe D. People tend to forget that Delaware has lots of black people (a lot of people thought Sanders had a chance there, for some reason.)

[PresidentSamTilden]

Safe D, no question about it

[HAnnA MArin County]

Safe D. People tend to forget that Delaware has lots of black people (a lot of people thought Sanders had a chance there, for some reason.)

They also thought he was going to win Ohio by a huge margin because muh angry NAFTA-hating working class whites and we saw how that went

Safe D.
Clinton 58
Trump 39
Johnson et al 3

[President Johnson]

Safe Hilldog.

Hilldog: 58%
Big Don: 39%

[Thomas D]

Safe Clinton

Clinton    54
Trump     40
Johnson    5
Stein        1

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Safe D. People tend to forget that Delaware has lots of black people (a lot of people thought Sanders had a chance there, for some reason.)

They also thought he was going to win Ohio by a huge margin because muh angry NAFTA-hating working class whites and we saw how that went

Safe D.
Clinton 58
Trump 39
Johnson et al 3

To be fair, Ohio was right after Michigan, which shocked everyone so much that predictions were adjusted dramatically and unwisely by everyone, especially after he crushed Hillary in the FL Debate. Also, Kasich crossovers probably added 6 or 7 points to Hillary's margin, with Dixiecrats crossing over for Trump adding another point or two.

[ElectionsGuy]

If Johnson fades:

Clinton 57
Trump 37
Johnson 4
Other 2

If not:

Clinton 52
Trump 34
Johnson 12
Other 2

Hey Wulfric, eventually you're going to need to tell me (before this series is done, which will be a few months) which numbers you want me to use for averaging.

[Xing]

Question: Will we be doing D.C. or Florida tomorrow?

[ElectionsGuy]

Question: Will we be doing D.C. or Florida tomorrow?

DC. In addition, even though it seems silly, I will be doing the Maine and Nebraska congressional districts individually.