This is how mega coattails works
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  This is how mega coattails works
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Author Topic: This is how mega coattails works  (Read 2146 times)
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Kalwejt
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« on: July 15, 2016, 08:45:33 AM »
« edited: July 15, 2016, 08:50:44 AM by Kalwejt »

Good afternoon, class.

Here's 2012 presidential results from West Virginia. As you can see, Romney got a whooping 62.14%



Now, such a mega victory couldn't be possibly contained to just one small state such as WV. A landslide such as this is bound to splash all over the place.

Under normal circumstances, Romney's megacoattails from West Virginia would be enough to make Maryland, which is just around the corner, competitive. But, because of Obama's even more mega victory in D.C. (90.91%)



Romney's megacoattails were largely canceled, allowing Democrats to narrowly hold Maryland by 61.97%



I mean, you can just see West Virginia megacoattails crossing the state line in the Panhandle.

Now, you may ask what happened to Obama's mega coattails in Delaware. Why there was no effect on Maryland? The answer is simple, these coattails commuted from New Castle County to Philadelphia via Amtrak.

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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2016, 09:04:52 AM »

Enlightening! Cheesy
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LLR
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« Reply #2 on: July 15, 2016, 10:08:34 AM »

It all makes sense now! Thank you for the new knowledge. Looks like trump is a lock to win Ohio now.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #3 on: July 15, 2016, 10:11:21 AM »

Makes sense.  Don't forget also that Romney's mega-coattails were somewhat contained in WV due to a lack of a major air hub.
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #4 on: July 15, 2016, 11:57:04 AM »

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Virginiá
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« Reply #5 on: July 15, 2016, 12:19:57 PM »

LOL Kal

Do you think Mega coattails from Colorado can take a plane to the eastern seaboard and shore up North Carolina and Virginia?
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #6 on: July 15, 2016, 01:07:17 PM »

LOL Kal

Do you think Mega coattails from Colorado can take a plane to the eastern seaboard and shore up North Carolina and Virginia?
Maybe. NC voted for Romney in 2012, though, so really the anti-Hillary mega coattails in Colorado would just help WV and NC in Virginia.
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #7 on: July 15, 2016, 01:28:10 PM »

Makes sense.  Don't forget also that Romney's mega-coattails were somewhat contained in WV due to a lack of a major air hub.

You're right. With a major air hub it'd spread wide.
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #8 on: July 15, 2016, 01:32:18 PM »

LOL Kal

Do you think Mega coattails from Colorado can take a plane to the eastern seaboard and shore up North Carolina and Virginia?

I don't know, but thanks for raising the Colorado question. The Atlas had already established Colorado hates Hillary, so such a mega hatred is bound to splash on the map.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #9 on: July 15, 2016, 01:32:31 PM »

LOL Kal

Do you think Mega coattails from Colorado can take a plane to the eastern seaboard and shore up North Carolina and Virginia?
Maybe. NC voted for Romney in 2012, though, so really the anti-Hillary mega coattails in Colorado would just help WV and NC in Virginia.

I think it depends on if those most susceptible to coat-tailing in VA and NC (high-educateds, obvs) learned Spanish in their high-education, since that's the origin of the mega-coattails in CO.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #10 on: July 15, 2016, 01:56:07 PM »

Is this why democrats support high speed rail?
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cxs018
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« Reply #11 on: July 15, 2016, 02:16:48 PM »

New Mexico safe R, thanks to mega coattails from OK and TX.
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #12 on: July 15, 2016, 03:20:49 PM »

Is this why democrats support high speed rail?

And infrastructure in general. The reason Ds can't spread their mega-coat tails from NY, NJ, and New England to battlegrounds like FL, NC, and VA is that too many people are caught in traffic snarls on I-95
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #13 on: July 15, 2016, 03:47:25 PM »

And who do you think was driving that Amtrak?


(As you've probably guessed, the extra coattails are packed in those donut boxes he's carrying.)
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #14 on: July 15, 2016, 04:06:24 PM »

Link to the original, glorious thread.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: July 15, 2016, 04:34:53 PM »

LOL, nice.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #16 on: July 15, 2016, 04:46:03 PM »

I don't know how one can be a Very Serious Analyst (VSA) without at least MENTIONING the POSSIBILITY of some Mega Coattails™ this November.
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #17 on: July 15, 2016, 04:48:51 PM »

And who do you think was driving that Amtrak?


(As you've probably guessed, the extra coattails are packed in those donut boxes he's carrying.)

Every time Joe is returning from D.C., he carried some D.C. mega coattails with him.
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Xing
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« Reply #18 on: July 15, 2016, 11:48:40 PM »

Question: If Clinton picks Kaine as her VP, would the mega-coattails from Virginia and D.C. put West Virginia in play?
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NeverAgain
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« Reply #19 on: July 15, 2016, 11:53:30 PM »

Question: If Clinton picks Kaine as her VP, would the mega-coattails from Virginia and D.C. put West Virginia in play?

Oh that is already a given. The worry for the Trump Campaign is whether the mega mega coattails from WV would flip KY.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #20 on: July 16, 2016, 01:43:51 AM »

LOL Kal

Do you think Mega coattails from Colorado can take a plane to the eastern seaboard and shore up North Carolina and Virginia?
Maybe. NC voted for Romney in 2012, though, so really the anti-Hillary mega coattails in Colorado would just help WV and NC in Virginia.

I think it depends on if those most susceptible to coat-tailing in VA and NC (high-educateds, obvs) learned Spanish in their high-education, since that's the origin of the mega-coattails in CO.

Tim Kaine and John Hickenlooper probs will endorse Trump soon if they want to win any more elections in their states.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #21 on: July 16, 2016, 10:14:32 AM »
« Edited: July 16, 2016, 10:48:17 AM by The Unbearable Invicibility of Hillary Clinton »

I do expect GOP efforts to blockade or dam angry women to the confines of NH will fail and a virtual tsunami of angry women will roll down I-95 all the way to Miami, crushing all GOP hopes in their wake.

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Wells
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« Reply #22 on: July 16, 2016, 10:36:47 AM »

But will the wave of angry keep itself to women, or will men also start getting angry? You didn't specify which gender the angry infects. The Dems will lose any chance of the White House if the men are getting angry too.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #23 on: July 16, 2016, 10:49:53 AM »

But will the wave of angry keep itself to women, or will men also start getting angry? You didn't specify which gender the angry infects. The Dems will lose any chance of the White House if the men are getting angry too.

Fixed it.  Men never stand a chance against angry women
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #24 on: July 16, 2016, 12:15:50 PM »

TNVolunteer Theorem:

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