Does Kaine lockdown VA for Clinton?

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

If Clinton goes with Kaine, how does it affect VA?

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I doubt it will swing many voters. VA is already in the lean Dem column, and I don't see much of a scenario where Trump wins the state so long as he struggles in northern VA.

[Maxwell]

Trump ain't gonna win Virginia, but I think Kaine makes that more secure.

[Likely Voter]

I think the main effect of Kaine would be to move PA to top priority ahead of VA. They have to spend in PA the way they spend in OH. Romney half-assed it at the end in PA. But the old GOP FL/OH/VA+1 narrow path strategy seems risky with Kaine on the ticket.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Most likely

[Podgy the Bear]

It will help in Virginia--and there will probably be some pickup nationally in the Catholic vote as well.

[Xing]

It gives Clinton a very slight boost there, but she's already favored, and it doesn't take the state completely out of play.

[evergreenarbor]

Virginia is already pretty much locked down for Clinton.

[Ljube]

Virginia is already pretty much locked down for Clinton.

[Cubby]

It will help in Virginia--and there will probably be some pickup nationally in the Catholic vote as well.

If John Kerry lost Catholics nationally why would a VP choice make any difference? The Al Smith/JFK era of massive swings to Catholic candidates is over.

[Orser67]

I would expect Virginia to vote 1 or 2 points to the left of the national average without Kaine on the ticket. With Kaine, I think it will be more like 2 or 3 points.

[Lincoln Republican]

Yes, and not only that, Kaine is a safe, solid, non controversial pick, is fluent in Spanish, which will be an asset in the campaign, and is completely acceptable to the Democratic base. 

[Ogre Mage]

A Kaine selection moves Virginia from lean Democratic to likely Democratic.

[Podgy the Bear]

It will help in Virginia--and there will probably be some pickup nationally in the Catholic vote as well.

If John Kerry lost Catholics nationally why would a VP choice make any difference? The Al Smith/JFK era of massive swings to Catholic candidates is over.

Notice I said SOME pickup--not massive swing.

Tim Kaine espouses some of the issues that would have appeal to faithful Catholics--his work as a Jesuit missionary for one year in Central America is commendable.    And his fluency in Spanish is helpful in the Hispanic community is a positive for the Democrats (but Trump has already taken care of this).

Picking a Catholic such as Kaine may move the national dial by perhaps a point or two--and could be very helpful in states like Pennsylvania and Ohio and Wisconsin.

[Sir Mohamed]

He helps a little, but VA is already locked up for her. As of now, the state is Likely D and that probably won't change till election day.

[MIKESOWELL]

With Kaine on the ticket, I see something like a 52-46% win for Hillary in VA.

[i4indyguy]

Voted 'no change' but could've gone with 'make a Hill win more likely'.   I personally think the biggest influences on the way VA votes will be the Gov. decision to grant voting rights to fully processed felons (pending litigation), and the hurt put on No. Virginia by the gov shutdown, prompted by Sen Cruz.

We'll see.

[ElectionsGuy]

Nope, maybe a 1% bounce.