George W Bush: I think I might be the last Republican president

[hopper]

Dubya is right. So long as the Democrats are getting 90% of the black vote and 70%+ of the latino vote, it's almost impossible for the GOP to win a national election

Why the GOP backed away from the 2006 immigration reform and took a hard line against it is bewildering to me. They had a chance to capture the Latino vote and be the party for the latinos.

Yes Immigration Reform would help but Latinos are not just gonna hand you their votes at the ballot box year in and out because you voted for Immigration Reform. You have to earn their votes. Immigration Reform was not Latinos Voters top issue in 2012 either as their top issue was the economy and I think even the issue of Education outranked Immigration as well.

They took a tough line in 2007 against Immigration because of the Conservative Talk Radio crowd (mainly Rush Limbaugh)being against it.

[hopper]

No.

How a Republican wins?
Realistically, please.

After they get their asses kicked in 2016 and again in 2020 when they nominate Ted Cruz or Joni Ernst or Tom Cotton or another base-pandering bozo, they'll finally come around and nominate a John Kasich type who isn't a total clown. After 16 years of Democratic presidents, incumbent fatigue will finally catch up to us and if the GOP nominates someone like Ike, they'll win.

Ernst-Whenever she talks she sounds like Sarah Palin. She isn't stupid though. Maybe she could be a VP pick one day.

Cotton-I think you are underrating him. I think he is smart.

Cruz-Well we agree there that he is too far right to win in a general.

[hopper]

Remember when the Democrats were doomed after 2004?
Remember when the Republicans were doomed after 2006/2008?
Remember when the Democrats were doomed after 2010?
Remember when the Republicans were doomed after 2012?
Remember when the Democrats were doomed after 2014?

IceSpear, Republicans have not won the popular vote in presidential elections since 1988. That's a mightily long time. Too long to fathom. And there is no end in site of this electoral drought.

The 2004 election is a special case of a war time president. Where other presidents won landslide victories, GWB only managed to squeak out a win solely dependent on one state and against a very weak opponent.

The reason Republicans do well in midterms is because the voters don't want a total domination by the Democratic Party yet.

Let us not fool ourselves. There are more Democrats in the USA than there are Republicans. This advantage is only going to grow larger.

Party ID has been stable for like 20 years with either each Party ID being tied or the Dems having a 6-7% point lead.