Who is the most likely President on 1/21/21?

[riceowl]

Considering the odds of ____ winning this year
The odds of the opposition winning the primary in 2020.
The odds of that person beating the incumbent (or losing to the incumbent).

Who is most likely?

I'm thinking Cruz actually.

[evergreenarbor]

Paul Ryan or Nikki Haley.

Cruz can't win a national election. His ceiling is well under 50 percent.

[This account no longer in use.]

Honestly, it's clear that everything Sasse is doing is building up to a 2020 run, he seems like the most electable Republican, and it seems likely that Clinton will win this election, but will not be favored in 2020. So Sasse, I suppose.

[Mike Thick]

I would say that the President is likely to be a Republican, but because there are so many Republicans the President is most likely to be Clinton.

I would say that the most likely Republican, though, is probably Ryan.

[TarHeelDem]

Clinton is definitely the favorite. If the GOP gets back in the White House at all it won't be for another several cycles (2024 at the earliest, possibly as late as 2032).

[Senator-elect Spark]

Tom Cotton

[Boston Bread]

Clinton is definitely the favorite. If the GOP gets back in the White House at all it won't be for another several cycles (2024 at the earliest, possibly as late as 2032).

Do you really think that the G.O.P is incompetent enough to not be able to stop the reelection of one of the most disliked candidates in American history?

Clinton's approval ratings have changed a lot through the years. Her approvals were mixed during the 2008 election. Then from the time Clinton was SoS to before she ran for president, she was one of America's most liked politicians, even though all of her supposed faults were already known by then. It's too early to predict what Clinton's approval rating would be into a hypothetical term as president.

[Devout Centrist]

Clinton is definitely the favorite. If the GOP gets back in the White House at all it won't be for another several cycles (2024 at the earliest, possibly as late as 2032).

Do you really think that the G.O.P is incompetent enough to not be able to stop the reelection of one of the most disliked candidates in American history?

Never say never.

[anthonyjg]

Clinton is definitely the favorite. If the GOP gets back in the White House at all it won't be for another several cycles (2024 at the earliest, possibly as late as 2032).

Do you really think that the G.O.P is incompetent enough to not be able to stop the reelection of one of the most disliked candidates in American history?

Possibly, the GOP might not even be competent enough to stop the election of one of the most disliked candidates in history, much less the reelection.

[Heisenberg]

I would say that the President is likely to be a Republican, but because there are so many Republicans the President is most likely to be Clinton.

I would say that the most likely Republican, though, is probably Ryan.

Basically this.

[Anti-Bothsidesism]

Clinton is definitely the favorite. If the GOP gets back in the White House at all it won't be for another several cycles (2024 at the earliest, possibly as late as 2032).

[Captain Chaos]

Clinton is definitely the favorite. If the GOP gets back in the White House at all it won't be for another several cycles (2024 at the earliest, possibly as late as 2032).

I think if the GOP cannot win back the White House in 2020 or 2024, they will probably dissolve and a new party will be founded as a home for conservatives (unless a chunk of Republicans defect en masse to the Libertarians).

[Brewer]

Hillary Clinton.

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Donald John Trump

or.... Mike Pence

[Kingpoleon]

Paul Ryan.

[AGA]

I would say that the President is likely to be a Republican, but because there are so many Republicans the President is most likely to be Clinton.

I would say that the most likely Republican, though, is probably Ryan.

[Dave1]

Donald Trump if he wins Election in November.

[Devout Centrist]

Clinton, at least for now.

[kyc0705]

I'm thinking Cruz actually.

Ah.

Hold on for a sec...
 

[Progressive]

Clinton is definitely the favorite. If the GOP gets back in the White House at all it won't be for another several cycles (2024 at the earliest, possibly as late as 2032).

Do you really think that the G.O.P is incompetent enough to not be able to stop the reelection of one of the most disliked candidates in American history?

Um, yes. See: Trump/Pence

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Clinton is definitely the favorite. If the GOP gets back in the White House at all it won't be for another several cycles (2024 at the earliest, possibly as late as 2032).

Do you really think that the G.O.P is incompetent enough to not be able to stop the reelection of one of the most disliked candidates in American history?

Do not underestimate the incompetence of the GOP.

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

Cotton.

[Medal506]

If Hillary Clinton wins in 2016 then Ted Cruz

If Donald Trump wins in 2016 then Elizabeth Warren

[R/H]

If Hillary Clinton wins in 2016, it will be Marco Rubio's turn in 2020.

January 20th, 2021 : Marco Rubio's presidential inauguration

Chief Justice of the United States : I Marco Antonio Rubio do solemnly swear...

Marco Rubio : I Marco Antonio Rubio do solemnly swear...

Chief Justice of the United States : ...that I will faithfully execute...

Marco Rubio : ...that I will faithfully execute...

Chief Justice of the United States : ...the office of President of the United States...

Marco Rubio : ...the office of President of the United States...

Chief Justice of the United States : ...and will with the best of my ability...

Marco Rubio : ...and will with the best of my ability...

Chief Justice of the United States : ...preserve, protect and defend...

Marco Rubio : ...preserve, protect and defend...

Chief Justice of the United States : ...the Constitution of the United States...

Marco Rubio : ...the Constitution of the United States...

Chief Justice of the United States : ...so help me God.

Marco Rubio : ...so help me God.

[BSH]

Warren, Harris, or Ellison