Make a map where Johnson hits 270
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Author Topic: Make a map where Johnson hits 270  (Read 3014 times)
Broken System
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« on: July 23, 2016, 03:34:38 PM »
Self explanatory.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2016, 03:43:44 PM »
That is tough.

Scenario: Bernie goes completely rogue after the Wikileaks and endorses Johnson - "We have to stop the two party system." Economy worsens, Obama's approval ratings drop and he stops campaigning with Clinton. Trump gets a little bit crazier and a lot of moderate Republicans start endorsing Johnson.

I gave Johnson the states where I don't consider Trump/Clinton or the Republican/Democratic machine to be the particularly strong - this is what I came up with. Texas, along with a couple other states, were a bit of a stretch, but I had to get over 270 somehow.

Johnson - 296
Clinton - 146
Trump - 96
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2016, 03:46:54 PM »
Why ?
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swf541
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« Reply #3 on: July 23, 2016, 03:57:34 PM »
hmm another scenario for the above map

It comes out Manafort is a Russian agent, Trump is shown to be backed by Putin and goes nuttier

Sanders withdraws endorsement, Jeb and Romney endorse Johnson and maybe Cruz in this scenario.

Economy crashes, Obama approval tanks and Clinton has another scandal.

Also someone needs to get Johnson a better speech coach or something.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #4 on: July 23, 2016, 04:06:06 PM »

270: Gary Johnson/William Weld - 36.0%
141: Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine - 30.3%
127: Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 28.0%
Jill Stein/David Cobb - 4.9%
Others - .8%
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AGA
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« Reply #5 on: July 23, 2016, 04:12:13 PM »
« Edited: July 23, 2016, 04:15:04 PM by Chrome »
I looked at some of Johnson's best states in 2012 and also included some states that Bernie Sanders won since some of his supporters could go to him.



Johnson: 270
Clinton: 196
Trump: 72
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Santander
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« Reply #6 on: July 23, 2016, 04:14:50 PM »

Might as well go all the way, since we're discussing the impossible.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #7 on: July 23, 2016, 04:21:45 PM »
Johnson could never win OH--he's not even on the damn ballot.
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #8 on: July 23, 2016, 04:23:39 PM »
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Maxwell
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« Reply #9 on: July 23, 2016, 04:25:06 PM »
Quote from: Santander on July 23, 2016, 04:14:50 PM

Might as well go all the way, since we're discussing the impossible.

amen brotha
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LLR
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« Reply #10 on: July 23, 2016, 04:31:28 PM »
IIRC Georgia has been a strong libertarian state in the past - that hasn't been featured in any of the maps thus far.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #11 on: July 23, 2016, 04:48:22 PM »
Quote from: BuckeyeNut on July 23, 2016, 04:21:45 PM
Johnson could never win OH--he's not even on the damn ballot.

But... he is.
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Redban
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« Reply #12 on: July 23, 2016, 04:54:30 PM »
Quote from: Santander on July 23, 2016, 04:14:50 PM

Might as well go all the way, since we're discussing the impossible.

LOL
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #13 on: July 23, 2016, 04:55:16 PM »


Gov. Gary Johnson (L-NM)/Gov. William Weld (L-MA): 275 EVs
Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY)/Gov. Mike Pence (R-IN): 154 EVs
Sec. Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA): 109 EVs
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Lachi
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« Reply #14 on: July 23, 2016, 05:16:19 PM »
Quote from: BuckeyeNut on July 23, 2016, 04:21:45 PM
Johnson could never win OH--he's not even on the damn ballot.
He's on the ballot in all states+DC
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Dabeav
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« Reply #15 on: July 23, 2016, 05:22:11 PM »
Would be nice, but I think the realistic scenario is no one gets 270, Johnson at least wins Utah and the Congress decides on Johnson because he's the most liked/least hated.
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Spark
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« Reply #16 on: July 23, 2016, 05:50:55 PM »


Former Gov. Gary Johnson (L-NM) / Former Gov. William Weld (L-MA) - 270 EVs, (37.2%)
Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY) / Gov. Mike Pence (R-IN) - 152 EVs, (26.7%)
Former SoS Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 126 EVs, (24.3%)
Doctor Jill Stein (G-MA) / William Kreml (G-SC) - 0 EVs, (4.7%) 
Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT)- 0 EVs, (3.2%)
Others- (3.9%)
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #17 on: July 23, 2016, 06:39:29 PM »
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #18 on: July 23, 2016, 06:40:28 PM »
Doesn't seem possible without Texas.
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Badger
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« Reply #19 on: July 23, 2016, 06:56:57 PM »
Quote from: Santander on July 23, 2016, 04:14:50 PM

Might as well go all the way, since we're discussing the impossible.

So wish Atlas had a like button. Grin
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Taco Truck 🚚
Schadenfreude
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« Reply #20 on: July 23, 2016, 07:08:43 PM »
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Inmate Trump
GWBFan
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« Reply #21 on: July 23, 2016, 11:17:31 PM »
Quote from: Lars Løkke Rasmussen on July 23, 2016, 04:31:28 PM
IIRC Georgia has been a strong libertarian state in the past - that hasn't been featured in any of the maps thus far.

We are a big Libertarian state. If Johnson were to get to 270, GA would be one to help him.
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #22 on: July 24, 2016, 01:00:51 AM »
« Edited: July 24, 2016, 01:03:24 AM by a.scott »
This is a thread more suited to the fantasy elections board, but whatever.



278.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #23 on: July 24, 2016, 07:19:02 AM »
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #24 on: July 24, 2016, 07:22:25 AM »


274 EVs
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