Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Idaho
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  Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Idaho		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Rate Idaho and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Clinton		  
#9
Trump		  
#10
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 118

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Idaho  (Read 2423 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: July 25, 2016, 02:07:50 AM »
Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Note: If you think Johnson/Other will win a state, just vote 'Other' and don't vote for a rating.

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result: Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii

Ratings



Safe Clinton: 72
Likely Clinton: 0
Lean Clinton: 9
Toss-Up: 29
Lean Trump: 27
Likely Trump: 3
Safe Trump: 15

Clinton: 81
Trump: 45
Toss-Up: 29

Predictions



Clinton: 110
Trump: 45

Idaho: Safe R, but Trump under performs the average Republican vote, something like 59-35 over Clinton.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2016, 02:28:11 AM »
« Edited: July 25, 2016, 02:30:19 AM by Ronnie »
Trump will win the state comfortably, but I think Hillary will win more counties than the usual Latah, Blaine, and sometimes Teton.  Shoshone, Valley, Ada, and maybe even Bannock counties are within reach for her.
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2016, 07:57:18 AM »
One of the top 3 states for Trump--probably after West Virginia and Wyoming. 

Trump 62-Clinton 32-Johnson 6
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dspNY
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« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2016, 08:01:55 AM »
Safe R

Trump 60
Clinton 33
Johnson 6
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #4 on: July 25, 2016, 08:33:31 AM »
Safe R.

✓Trump: 63.9%
Clinton: 34.4%
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Bakersfield Uber Alles
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #5 on: July 25, 2016, 10:28:54 AM »
I'm thinking Safe R (and thus a Trump win) at this point.

Madison County, home of BYU Idaho, should be interesting to watch though. Last time, it went about 92-6 for Romney. It was 85-12 in 2008.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #6 on: July 25, 2016, 10:34:40 AM »
This series makes me realize just how few swing states there are. Must have been a lot more interesting in 1976.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #7 on: July 25, 2016, 10:38:32 AM »
Safe R

Trump 60
Clinton 32
Johnson 7
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Senator-elect Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #8 on: July 25, 2016, 10:40:27 AM »
Safe R. 62-31-7
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #9 on: July 25, 2016, 10:43:47 AM »
Safe R.  Barring a Mormon revolt (1/4 of the state's population), Trump will easily surpass 60% and be in his top four (along with WV, WY, and OK).
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tinman64
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E: -4.13, S: -1.57

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« Reply #10 on: July 25, 2016, 11:01:04 AM »
Safe R.

Trump 61
Clinton 32
Others 7
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #11 on: July 25, 2016, 11:09:34 AM »
Safe R, Trump wins 60-36.
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #12 on: July 25, 2016, 11:55:44 AM »
Safe R.

Trump: 57
Clinton: 32
Johnson: 9
Others: 2
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #13 on: July 25, 2016, 02:11:37 PM »
Safe R
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #14 on: July 25, 2016, 03:31:18 PM »
Safe R.
Trump: 56%
Clinton: 34
Johnson: 8%
Others: 2%
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AGA
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« Reply #15 on: July 26, 2016, 06:54:20 PM »
Safe R

Trump: 61%
Clinton: 33%
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Figueira
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« Reply #16 on: July 26, 2016, 06:58:56 PM »
Safe R, bordering on Likely R.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #17 on: July 26, 2016, 07:03:15 PM »
Quote from: MATTROSE94 on July 25, 2016, 03:31:18 PM
Safe R.
Trump: 56%
Clinton: 34
Johnson: 8%
Others: 2%
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
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« Reply #18 on: July 26, 2016, 07:08:37 PM »
Safe R
Trump 55-40-5
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OwlRhetoric
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« Reply #19 on: July 26, 2016, 07:48:14 PM »
A very safe (R).
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #20 on: July 26, 2016, 08:14:39 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on July 25, 2016, 02:28:11 AM
Trump will win the state comfortably, but I think Hillary will win more counties than the usual Latah, Blaine, and sometimes Teton.  Shoshone, Valley, Ada, and maybe even Bannock counties are within reach for her.

Shoshone seems like prime Trump territory but the others are possible.
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Breton Racer
Harrytruman48
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« Reply #21 on: August 08, 2016, 02:53:26 AM »
Due to the large Mormon vote, he should do worse here than Romney. Johnson should do very well.

Trump- 55
Clinton- 34%
Johnson-10%
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #22 on: September 01, 2016, 07:07:50 PM »
Safe R, Trump 59-37
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peterthlee
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« Reply #23 on: October 07, 2016, 06:24:46 PM »
Safe R-Solid
Trump 57-41-2
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heatcharger
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« Reply #24 on: October 19, 2016, 03:36:43 PM »
Democrats have a higher ceiling here than in Utah, so a perfect split of the Republican vote could somehow yield a victory for Clinton. I'm not sure whether McMuffin's mega-coattails from Utah will be enough to make that happen though, so Likely R.

42% Trump
34% Clinton
19% McMullin
4% Johnson
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