Inescapable PA: Massive data dump and maps, maps, and more maps

[Torie]

If this long article isn't salivating inducing succulent red meat to forumites, nothing is. The article in the end does not say anything that those of use who are fascinated by a most unhip state that has such dramatic cross trends going on between its various parts, did not already know, but it is still fascinating. And yes, Trump needs to win it, or he's done. It will be a great experiment in whether the Trump nationalistic/populist/authoritarian message can get white working class voters to have a turnout that finally matches, if not exceeds, that of blacks, as well as get them to trend rather sharply in his direction. PA is ground zero in this election. It certainly isn't VA, nor CO. Those states have too many educated whites to give Trump an opening. Another interesting thing to watch is whether PA votes more Pub this time than Florida. How much of the Cuban vote will Trump manage to hold, among other things, will be a key factor.

[Classic Conservative]

Good Job, Miles for contributing to the article.

[Gass3268]

Congrats to Miles for his work!

[KingSweden]

Outstanding article. I think the author's prediction of a narrow Clinton win, with the possibility for a Trump squeaker, are spot on. Turnout is key in PA, from my understanding, and he'll need a real turnout game there to succeed.

[Torie]

Ah, I didn't connect the dots. Very impressive work Miles. And I didn't know you were part of a "decision desk." Awesome. And folks say sometimes that the quality of our posters sucks. They really  don't have a clue - at all!

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

Outstanding article. I think the author's prediction of a narrow Clinton win, with the possibility for a Drumpf squeaker, are spot on. Turnout is key in PA, from my understanding, and he'll need a real turnout game there to succeed.

Thankfully he doesn't have one!

[Xing]

Outstanding article. I think the author's prediction of a narrow Clinton win, with the possibility for a Drumpf squeaker, are spot on. Turnout is key in PA, from my understanding, and he'll need a real turnout game there to succeed.

Thankfully he doesn't have one!

You've joined our side too!? Wow, this has been a great year for red avatars!

Anyway, I agree that PA will be ground zero for this election, and that it will be a test of not only whether or not a coalition of mainly white working class voters is enough to win an election, but whether or not a campaign without much infrastructure can flip a state that Democrats have consistently won.

[EliteLX]

Phenomenal content.

[Ebsy]

A lot of good analysis to come to the conclusion that Trump almost certainly isn't going to win Pennsylvania.

[Miles]

Thanks, everyone!

Brandon has been researching PA for a while, and I was impressed with what he came up with. I just put his data into map form!

[Stockdale for Veep]

Excellent stuff. Looks like PA needs its own "driftless area".

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

We need more PA polls. The one's out of Luzerne are terrifying, but not I'm ready to consider it a 100% tossup until I see more polling.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Outstanding article. I think the author's prediction of a narrow Clinton win, with the possibility for a Drumpf squeaker, are spot on. Turnout is key in PA, from my understanding, and he'll need a real turnout game there to succeed.

Thankfully he doesn't have one!

You've joined our side too!? Wow, this has been a great year for red avatars!

Anyway, I agree that PA will be ground zero for this election, and that it will be a test of not only whether or not a coalition of mainly white working class voters is enough to win an election, but whether or not a campaign without much infrastructure can flip a state that Democrats have consistently won.

Xingkerui, are you a fiscal conservative or a social conservative?

[KingSweden]

We need more PA polls. The one's out of Luzerne are terrifying, but not I'm ready to consider it a 100% tossup until I see more polling.

Isn't Lackawanna (Scranton) where the bulk of the Dem advantage in that region lies, anyhow? My understanding is that Luzerne has been pretty narrowly Dem for ages and trending the wrong way anyhow.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

We need more PA polls. The one's out of Luzerne are terrifying, but not I'm ready to consider it a 100% tossup until I see more polling.

Isn't Lackawanna (Scranton) where the bulk of the Dem advantage in that region lies, anyhow? My understanding is that Luzerne has been pretty narrowly Dem for ages and trending the wrong way anyhow.

Latest polling shows Trump up 55-32% in Luzerne county, which would be devastating for Clinton.

[Xing]

Outstanding article. I think the author's prediction of a narrow Clinton win, with the possibility for a Drumpf squeaker, are spot on. Turnout is key in PA, from my understanding, and he'll need a real turnout game there to succeed.

Thankfully he doesn't have one!

You've joined our side too!? Wow, this has been a great year for red avatars!

Anyway, I agree that PA will be ground zero for this election, and that it will be a test of not only whether or not a coalition of mainly white working class voters is enough to win an election, but whether or not a campaign without much infrastructure can flip a state that Democrats have consistently won.

Xingkerui, are you a fiscal conservative or a social conservative?

Uh... neither.