AMP-Calypso Poll: Paul Ryan Losing Reelection Bid; Nehlen+7 in WI-01
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 07:05:29 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  AMP-Calypso Poll: Paul Ryan Losing Reelection Bid; Nehlen+7 in WI-01
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: AMP-Calypso Poll: Paul Ryan Losing Reelection Bid; Nehlen+7 in WI-01  (Read 2735 times)
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,453
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 25, 2016, 01:50:00 PM »
« edited: July 25, 2016, 01:55:03 PM by Arch »

"Paul Ryan is becoming more and more disliked throughout the nation, and in his own House district, with voters approving of his challenger by greater and greater margins according to the new poll released by AMP Calypso"

452 Voters

Nehlen (R): 48%
Ryan (R): 41%
Undecided/Other: 11%

http://prntly.com/2016/05/07/paul-ryan-panic-primary-challenger-nehlen-surges-to-lead-in-new-poll/
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2016, 01:51:38 PM »

I want to believe it's true but no way is AMP-Calypso a real firm.
Logged
The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,263
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -7.48

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2016, 01:53:47 PM »

Nehlen is Ryan's primary challenger, not the Democrat.

Not sure if this poll is accurate, but it looks like Ryan's going to have to start seriously investing in this race, or else he'll get Cantor'd.  When's the primary?
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,453
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2016, 01:54:49 PM »

I want to believe it's true but no way is AMP-Calypso a real firm.

Yea, I'm questioning the results. There's no breakdown and it just says "Voters." Are they mostly indi, mostly R, Registered, Likely?

¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,453
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 25, 2016, 01:56:04 PM »

Nehlen is Ryan's primary challenger, not the Democrat.

Not sure if this poll is accurate, but it looks like Ryan's going to have to start seriously investing in this race, or else he'll get Cantor'd.  When's the primary?

Noted. August 9th.
Logged
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,059
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 25, 2016, 02:25:24 PM »

he can still stay the Speaker. He doesn't need to be a representative to be the Speaker.
Logged
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,640
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 25, 2016, 03:33:33 PM »

he can still stay the Speaker. He doesn't need to be a representative to be the Speaker.


He would be a complete laughing joke if he lost his primary and remained Speaker.
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,684
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 25, 2016, 06:22:42 PM »

If he loses his seat to Nehlen, who's the Democratic challenger?
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 25, 2016, 06:27:31 PM »

^ Looks like one of two Some Dudes who have never run before.
Logged
Mike Thick
tedbessell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,085


Political Matrix
E: -6.65, S: -8.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 25, 2016, 06:34:08 PM »

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/04/02/in-the-year-of-trump-a-made-up-news-website-run-by-an-ex-convict-finds-success/

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
SATW
SunriseAroundTheWorld
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,463
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 25, 2016, 06:38:36 PM »

Prntly? really guys? this is a source mainly used by Trump-clowns. Let's see a real poll before analyzing this race.
Logged
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,896
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 25, 2016, 06:46:45 PM »

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=193500.0

Wasn't this a junk poll too?

I'm not about to accept this at face value but anything can happen in this R House primaries.
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,684
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: July 25, 2016, 07:32:22 PM »

If Ryan loses, I could see Ohio Congressman Jim Jordan or Georgia Congressman Tom Price being dark horse House Speakers.
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,175


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: July 25, 2016, 10:45:56 PM »

The difference between this and Brat is that this is actually a competitive district. Nehlen could easily lose o a Democrat, even a some dude.
Logged
Vega
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: July 26, 2016, 12:33:41 PM »

Louie Gohmert for Speaker!

Nah. If Ryan loses then it'll probably be someone like Charlie Dent.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 11, 2016, 12:21:22 AM »

Is this officially the worst poll ever? Though it might not count since I'm 99% sure it was fake.
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 11, 2016, 12:37:47 AM »

This is freaking hillarious.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,685
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 11, 2016, 12:43:21 AM »

I never thought a poll would surpass the 48 point miss of Overtime Politics in Alabama, but here we go.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 11, 2016, 12:47:57 AM »

I never thought a poll would surpass the 48 point miss of Overtime Politics in Alabama, but here we go.

Yeah, the problem is that one was 99% fake too.

What is the worst poll that we know for a fact was legitimate? That Michigan one showing Hillary up 30 comes to mind but there's probably been worse.
Logged
The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,263
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -7.48

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 11, 2016, 01:01:13 AM »

I never thought a poll would surpass the 48 point miss of Overtime Politics in Alabama, but here we go.

Yeah, the problem is that one was 99% fake too.

What is the worst poll that we know for a fact was legitimate? That Michigan one showing Hillary up 30 comes to mind but there's probably been worse.

I think all the Michigan polls showed Hillary thrashing Bernie.  Michigan is a hard state to poll for some reason.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,685
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 11, 2016, 01:01:41 AM »

I never thought a poll would surpass the 48 point miss of Overtime Politics in Alabama, but here we go.

Yeah, the problem is that one was 99% fake too.

What is the worst poll that we know for a fact was legitimate? That Michigan one showing Hillary up 30 comes to mind but there's probably been worse.

Eric Cantor's Internal from 2014 is worse than that. It showed him up by 34, he lost by 11.
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,453
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 11, 2016, 02:01:32 AM »

The mud-standard poll of the year.
Logged
Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,695
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: 2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 11, 2016, 07:30:06 AM »

We may have finally found a polling firm that is worse than Gravis Marketing.
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,120
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 11, 2016, 08:59:08 AM »

I think we've discovered the worst poll in recorded history.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 11, 2016, 11:00:08 AM »

Seriously, polling is a dying art.  With so many people cutting off their landline phones, it's becoming harder and harder for polls to be consistent anymore.

http://nymag.com/news/features/election-polls-2012-10/index1.html
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 12 queries.