Ohio-PPP: Trump +3; tied in binary race
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  Ohio-PPP: Trump +3; tied in binary race
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Author Topic: Ohio-PPP: Trump +3; tied in binary race  (Read 3195 times)
JRP1994
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« on: July 25, 2016, 02:40:31 PM »

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/07/trump-gets-modest-boost-in-ohio-after-convention.html

Trump: 42
Clinton: 39
Johnson: 6
Stein: 2


Trump: 45
Clinton: 45
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2016, 02:41:52 PM »

Not bad given the current state of things, could be worse.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2016, 02:42:28 PM »

Tied in head to head? lol no reason to freak out with this one.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2016, 02:42:54 PM »

This is not a "6 on the freak out meter".
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heatcharger
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« Reply #4 on: July 25, 2016, 02:43:48 PM »

The last PPP poll here in June showed Clinton 44, Trump 40 in a binary race.

Not bad given the current state of things, could be worse.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #5 on: July 25, 2016, 02:44:29 PM »
« Edited: July 25, 2016, 02:47:08 PM by Spooky Mike »

Tied in head to head? lol no reason to freak out with this one.

SAY HELLO TO OUR EMPEROR OVERLORD DONALD JOHN TRUMP Wink

On a serious note, this polls on par with the 2012 race.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #6 on: July 25, 2016, 02:44:41 PM »

The last PPP poll here in June showed Clinton 44, Trump 40 in a binary race.

Not bad given the current state of things, could be worse.

Yeah, Big Don gets a bump. Good news.
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dspNY
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« Reply #7 on: July 25, 2016, 02:45:03 PM »

So we're tied after Trump's convention in Ohio? Lean D. The 2 person race is more accurate
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #8 on: July 25, 2016, 02:45:41 PM »

Notable details:

-"Voters who are for Johnson or Stein or undecided in full field in OH go for Clinton by 18 pts head to head w/Trump"

-"In June we had Trump leading only 66/15 among R's in Ohio. Now 82/9. That's the whole bump- no gains with D's, I's"

-"74% of Trump voters in Ohio think Hillary Clinton should be in prison, only 11% disagree, so 'lock her up' represented party pretty well"

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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #9 on: July 25, 2016, 02:46:33 PM »

Trump +5, Clinton + 1 from last head to head OH PPP poll
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Ljube
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« Reply #10 on: July 25, 2016, 02:46:49 PM »

Tied in head to head? lol no reason to freak out with this one.

SAY HELLO TO OUR EMPEROR OVERLOAD DONALD JOHN TRUMP Wink

On a serious note, this polls on par with the 2012 race.

No, it doesn't. Obama consistently led all polls.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #11 on: July 25, 2016, 02:48:06 PM »

Tied in head to head? lol no reason to freak out with this one.

SAY HELLO TO OUR EMPEROR OVERLOAD DONALD JOHN TRUMP Wink

On a serious note, this polls on par with the 2012 race.

No, it doesn't. Obama consistently led all polls.


I mean the state polls. I remember it was consistently tied in Ohio.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #12 on: July 25, 2016, 02:48:47 PM »

Tied in head to head? lol no reason to freak out with this one.

SAY HELLO TO OUR EMPEROR OVERLOAD DONALD JOHN TRUMP Wink

On a serious note, this polls on par with the 2012 race.

No, it doesn't. Obama consistently led all polls.

No he didn't.  Race jumped around many times. 
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #13 on: July 25, 2016, 02:49:06 PM »

Tied in head to head? lol no reason to freak out with this one.

SAY HELLO TO OUR EMPEROR OVERLOAD DONALD JOHN TRUMP Wink

On a serious note, this polls on par with the 2012 race.

No, it doesn't. Obama consistently led all polls.


Romney led a few Ohio polls. There were also plenty of Obama +1 Ohio polls.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #14 on: July 25, 2016, 02:49:33 PM »

Newt Gingrich is only -4 in favorables? Junk.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #15 on: July 25, 2016, 02:50:21 PM »

Not terrible, definitely not a 6 on the freak out meter...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: July 25, 2016, 02:51:19 PM »

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Again, it looks like the RNC was successful in consolidating the Republican base and to a lesser extent the Democratic base.

While obviously this isn't good news for Clinton, this isn't horrendous. Based on this I imagine Hillary is still at least 1-2 points up in Pennsylvania.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #17 on: July 25, 2016, 02:51:44 PM »

I'm guessing PPP was referencing their 4-way poll as the freak-out numbers, which I still don't think merit a 6.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #18 on: July 25, 2016, 02:53:32 PM »

How many millions of special interest dollars did she spent in Ohio already? And how many staffers does she have in that state? And how many did TRUMP spent by contrast? It's obvious which candidate is running the better and more efficient campaign.
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Ljube
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« Reply #19 on: July 25, 2016, 02:55:19 PM »

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Again, it looks like the RNC was successful in consolidating the Republican base and to a lesser extent the Democratic base.

While obviously this isn't good news for Clinton, this isn't horrendous. Based on this I imagine Hillary is still at least 1-2 points up in Pennsylvania.

No. She is behind in Pennsylvania.

We really need to get more Pennsylvania polls so the red avatars here will finally get a grip.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #20 on: July 25, 2016, 02:57:43 PM »

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Again, it looks like the RNC was successful in consolidating the Republican base and to a lesser extent the Democratic base.

While obviously this isn't good news for Clinton, this isn't horrendous. Based on this I imagine Hillary is still at least 1-2 points up in Pennsylvania.

No. She is behind in Pennsylvania.

We really need to get more Pennsylvania polls so the red avatars here will finally get a grip.


Both sides need to get a grip, you included.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #21 on: July 25, 2016, 03:02:28 PM »

Quote
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Again, it looks like the RNC was successful in consolidating the Republican base and to a lesser extent the Democratic base.

While obviously this isn't good news for Clinton, this isn't horrendous. Based on this I imagine Hillary is still at least 1-2 points up in Pennsylvania.

No. She is behind in Pennsylvania.

We really need to get more Pennsylvania polls so the red avatars here will finally get a grip.


You aren't making any sense. If there are no polls of Pennsylvania, then how do you know that she is behind. You can't make up polls on your computer or in your head and pass them off as real. That's not how things work.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #22 on: July 25, 2016, 03:03:41 PM »

Not a particularly great showing for Johnson or Stein.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #23 on: July 25, 2016, 03:04:14 PM »

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Again, it looks like the RNC was successful in consolidating the Republican base and to a lesser extent the Democratic base.

While obviously this isn't good news for Clinton, this isn't horrendous. Based on this I imagine Hillary is still at least 1-2 points up in Pennsylvania.

No. She is behind in Pennsylvania.

We really need to get more Pennsylvania polls so the red avatars here will finally get a grip.


There has only been one PA poll with Trump up for the entire cycle.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #24 on: July 25, 2016, 03:04:55 PM »

Not a particularly great showing for Johnson or Stein.

I expect them to start to fade as the cycle goes on. Also Ohio won't be a good state for either.
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