Ohio-PPP: Trump +3; tied in binary race

[KingSweden]

This seems totally reasonable after an RNC held in Ohio.

[KingSweden]

Not a particularly great showing for Johnson or Stein.

I expect them to start to fade as the cycle goes on. Also Ohio won't be a good state for either.

This too. Neither is a very good fit for the state, except maybe some parts of Columbus

[The Other Castro]

Putin's approval rating in Ohio is 6/66, and 8/62 among Ohio Trump voters. 19% say Hillary has ties to Lucifer.

[Ljube]

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Again, it looks like the RNC was successful in consolidating the Republican base and to a lesser extent the Democratic base.

While obviously this isn't good news for Clinton, this isn't horrendous. Based on this I imagine Hillary is still at least 1-2 points up in Pennsylvania.

No. She is behind in Pennsylvania.

We really need to get more Pennsylvania polls so the red avatars here will finally get a grip.

You aren't making any sense. If there are no polls of Pennsylvania, then how do you know that she is behind. You can't make up polls on your computer or in your head and pass them off as real. That's not how things work.

All of my predictions so far have been based on the state fundamentals and only later corroborated by polls. Pennsylvania demographics are more favorable to Trump than Ohio demographics.

[Gass3268]

Putin's approval rating in Ohio is 6/66, and 8/62 among Ohio Trump voters. 19% say Hillary has ties to Lucifer.

The Putin attack line could be good way to go in the future.

[JRP1994]

Another thing to keep in mind is that Public Policy Polling is typically a couple points Dem leaning.

[windjammer]

Another thing to keep in mind is that Public Policy Polling is typically a couple points Dem leaning.

It's not true, in 2012 that was the best pollster for predicting the outcome.

[JRP1994]

Another thing to keep in mind is that Public Policy Polling is typically a couple points Dem leaning.

It's not true, in 2012 that was the best pollster for predicting the outcome.

Those aren't mutually exclusive claims.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Not a particularly great showing for Johnson or Stein.

and still a better showing in the state for third party candidates since 1996

[GeorgiaModerate]

Another thing to keep in mind is that Public Policy Polling is typically a couple points Dem leaning.

While this was true a few years ago, they've had much less bias in recent years.  538 currently has them listed as R+0.2.

[Seriously?]

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Again, it looks like the RNC was successful in consolidating the Republican base and to a lesser extent the Democratic base.

While obviously this isn't good news for Clinton, this isn't horrendous. Based on this I imagine Hillary is still at least 1-2 points up in Pennsylvania.

No. She is behind in Pennsylvania.

We really need to get more Pennsylvania polls so the red avatars here will finally get a grip.

You aren't making any sense. If there are no polls of Pennsylvania, then how do you know that she is behind. You can't make up polls on your computer or in your head and pass them off as real. That's not how things work.

All of my predictions so far have been based on the state fundamentals and only later corroborated by polls. Pennsylvania demographics are more favorable to Trump than Ohio demographics.

Correct PA has been polling to the right of OH this cycle for whatever reason. (Whether I believe it or not).

[JRP1994]

Another thing to keep in mind is that Public Policy Polling is typically a couple points Dem leaning.

While this was true a few years ago, they've had much less bias in recent years.  538 currently has them listed as R+0.2.

Ah, so they do. I stand corrected.

[Xing]

Could be much worse.

[/]

Woah, they asked my question! I was the one who suggested the Obama vs Trump match-up.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Woah, they asked my question! I was the one who suggested the Obama vs Trump match-up.

Beautiful poll! It's looking like a 3rd term landslide!

Obama leads Trump 48-44 and Romney 50-41 (as a hindsight support, not presently). Hmmmm, so much for that unelectable argument.

[Gass3268]

Woah, they asked my question! I was the one who suggested the Obama vs Trump match-up.

4 more years!

[The Other Castro]

That pesky 22nd amendment is very inconvenient this year.

[Sir Mohamed]

Only tied in a two-way race? Lean/likely D.

[Brittain33]

How many millions of special interest dollars did she spent in Ohio already? And how many staffers does she have in that state? And how many did TRUMP spent by contrast? It's obvious which candidate is running the better and more efficient campaign.

Efficacy of staffers will show up on Election Day, not in polling.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Undecideds support putting Clinton in prison 33/29 and Johnson voters by a 45/39 margin. (Stein even worse at 51/37)

[The Other Castro]

PPP is polling Pennsylvania this weekend! Looks like we may finally get an answer to the PA/OH relationship question.

[IceSpear]

PPP is polling Pennsylvania this weekend! Looks like we may finally get an answer to the PA/OH relationship question.

Not really, since PA will be after the DNC whereas OH was after the RNC.

[The Other Castro]

PPP is polling Pennsylvania this weekend! Looks like we may finally get an answer to the PA/OH relationship question.

Not really, since PA will be after the DNC whereas OH was after the RNC.

Eh it's still something.

[Associate Justice PiT]

PPP is polling Pennsylvania this weekend! Looks like we may finally get an answer to the PA/OH relationship question.

Not really, since PA will be after the DNC whereas OH was after the RNC.

    Time to unskew some polls.