What would each candidate get in a 100% turnout race? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 10:07:21 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  What would each candidate get in a 100% turnout race? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: What would each candidate get in a 100% turnout race?  (Read 768 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« on: July 25, 2016, 02:57:04 PM »

Suppose between now and election day, everyone eligible to vote is registered, and that they subsequently are all motivated and able to show up to vote, know at least a bit about where all the candidates stand (don't just throw a dart) and can vote for the candidate of their choice. Who wins and by how much? What do the third-partiers get?

You can point to the old adage that in higher-turnout races Democrats do better, but you can also make the argument that this is only for elections that are already around 50-60% turnout. The least likely voters in the US, (the last 25% of holdouts in a 75% turnout election) I would think, are probably more likely to vote third-party.

So here's my guess:

Clinton - 44%
Trump - 42%
Johnson - 7%
Stein - 3%
Castle - 1%
Other - 3%
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.017 seconds with 14 queries.