Ramussen/KNTV: Nevada - Heck + 9

[Terry the Fat Shark]

http://www.ktnv.com/news/political/exclusive-ktnvrasmussen-poll-shows-trump-heck-with-post-gop-convention-leads-in-nevada

Heck - 46
Cortez-Masto -37

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Glad to see the people of Nevada know who the better senator will be!

[Heisenberg]

Glad to see the people of Nevada know who the better senator will be!

Let's go Joe!

[mds32]

I think with this consistent polling of the GOP at least picking up Nevada the GOP will likely hold the Senate.

With the GOP leading in PA, OH, and now FL and with Democrats leading in IL, WI, IN (for now), and slightly NH a pickup for the GOP would likely end this.

[tmthforu94]

I'm not sure it is 9 points, but at this point, I think Heck is the definite favorite - Cortez-Masto hasn't led in a poll in over a year.

Democrats far exceeded expectations in 2010 and 2012, though 2010 could be attributed to Reid's machine/Angle's weakness and it was seen everywhere in 2012. Still, I won't feel comfortable unless Heck is leading by >5% on Election Day.

[Boston Bread]

This poll has Trump up 5, so I think the senate poll is biased.

[heatcharger]

I'm not sure it is 9 points, but at this point, I think Heck is the definite favorite - Cortez-Masto hasn't led in a poll in over a year.

There's barely been any polls in NV at all so that doesn't mean much.

[Maxwell]

This poll also showed Trump +5 in Nevada, which I highly doubt.

[windjammer]

Lol lol lol.

I recognize that Portman has taken the lead right now (though I still believe it will change before the election), there is no way Nevada will be competitive for Trump so it most likely dooms the chances of Heck of winning this seat.

[Joe Republic]

On one hand, at this same point in 2010, Rasmussen had Reid up 2 points on Angle, so if they currently have this race Heck up 9, then ruh roh.

On the other hand, they also had Angle up 4 points the week before the actual election, which Reid went on to win by 6.  Which makes me wonder if their poll from July 2010 was more like Reid +12.

All of which tells me that CCM might in fact be +1. 

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Lol lol lol.

I recognize that Portman has taken the lead right now (though I still believe it will change before the election), there is no way Nevada will be competitive for Trump so it most likely dooms the chances of Heck of winning this seat.

windjammer please, the detached northeast transplants love Heck. He is truly the ideal Senate candidate.

[Xing]

Same poll that shows Trump up by 5. Junk.

[Xing]

Same poll that shows Trump up by 5. Junk.

Even Joe Ralston said that the poll looks accurate and actually has a skewed Democratic sample. NV is not a deep-blue state.

Hillary isn't going to lose NHNV, man. She might very wellcould possibly lose the election, but not NHNV. If the state is tied on election night, it's a Trumpslide.