NBC/Survey Monkey Natl: Trump +2 (4-way) / Clinton +1 (2-way)
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  NBC/Survey Monkey Natl: Trump +2 (4-way) / Clinton +1 (2-way)
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Author Topic: NBC/Survey Monkey Natl: Trump +2 (4-way) / Clinton +1 (2-way)  (Read 2042 times)
amdcpus
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« on: July 26, 2016, 07:18:09 AM »
« edited: July 26, 2016, 02:15:20 PM by Likely Voter »

NBC Survey Monkey Weekly Tracking National (July 18-24)

4-way
Trump 41% (+1)
Clinton 39% (-)
Johnson 10% (-)
Stein 5% (-)

2-way
Clinton 46% (-)
Trump 45% (-)


Article:
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/poll-no-post-convention-bounce-donald-trump-n616426

Details:
https://www.scribd.com/document/319270782/NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Toplines-and-Methodology-7-18-724
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dspNY
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« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2016, 07:20:05 AM »
« Edited: July 26, 2016, 07:47:29 AM by dspNY »


Head to head Clinton still leads by 1 (46-45) which is the more accurate number. No bounce in this poll. That makes three national polls (CBS/NYT, YouGov, and NBC/SurveyMonkey) with no bounce
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2016, 07:23:37 AM »

You should put the topline numbers in the thread header instead of making us click f.y.i. So this thread would be: "NBC National: Trump +2, Clinton +1 in Two way" or something to that effect.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2016, 08:18:53 AM »

You should put the topline numbers in the thread header instead of making us click f.y.i. So this thread would be: "NBC National: Trump +2, Clinton +1 in Two way" or something to that effect.

Also this should labeled as "NBC/SurveyMonkey" not "NBC National."

That CNN poll is starting to feel a bit like an outlier.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2016, 08:25:31 AM »

Here's a doozie:

Quote
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2016, 08:26:56 AM »

It’s really shocking that this narcissistic fake billionaire who has no clue about politics is even tied.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2016, 09:36:43 AM »

More accurate title
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JRP1994
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« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2016, 09:58:10 AM »


Head to head Clinton still leads by 1 (46-45) which is the more accurate number. No bounce in this poll. That makes three national polls (CBS/NYT, YouGov, and NBC/SurveyMonkey) with no bounce

[Citation needed]
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amdcpus
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« Reply #8 on: July 26, 2016, 10:11:14 AM »


Nope. Enjoy the loss in November because Jill Stein, the only woman qualified for the job, causes Clinton to lose.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #9 on: July 26, 2016, 10:25:23 AM »


Nope. Enjoy the loss in November because Jill Stein, the only woman qualified for the job, causes Clinton to lose.

Nope, she's completely unqualified. Also, a mod will be coming by soon to fix your title. The fact that you don't like Hillary Clinton doesn't give you license to be disingenuous. You are openly refusing to follow the decorum of this page.

If you are going to post polls, be accurate in how you present the results.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #10 on: July 26, 2016, 10:26:10 AM »


Nope. Enjoy the loss in November because Jill Stein, the only woman qualified for the job, causes Clinton to lose.
She will get, at most, 1%.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #11 on: July 26, 2016, 10:39:07 AM »


Nope. Enjoy the loss in November because Jill Stein, the only woman qualified for the job, causes Clinton to lose.
I support Trump a lot more than most on here, but that title needs to be fixed so that we can just look at it and see the results.

NBC News/Survey Monkey National: Clinton +1 (2-way); Trump +2 (4-way) or something like that
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amdcpus
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« Reply #12 on: July 26, 2016, 10:39:48 AM »


Nope. Enjoy the loss in November because Jill Stein, the only woman qualified for the job, causes Clinton to lose.

Nope, she's completely unqualified. Also, a mod will be coming by soon to fix your title. The fact that you don't like Hillary Clinton doesn't give you license to be disingenuous. You are openly refusing to follow the decorum of this page.

If you are going to post polls, be accurate in how you present the results.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tor00iWUhDQ
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Ljube
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« Reply #13 on: July 26, 2016, 11:34:21 AM »

It’s really shocking that this narcissistic fake billionaire who has no clue about politics is even tied.

Yes. Shocking. He should be leading by a lot. But alas, the Dem smear machine and the dishonest media have done their work.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #14 on: July 26, 2016, 11:54:15 AM »

     This poll was conducted back to 7/18. Doesn't really seem like it would capture a bounce anyway.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #15 on: July 26, 2016, 12:02:08 PM »

     This poll was conducted back to 7/18. Doesn't really seem like it would capture a bounce anyway.
Hm... 18 - 24 July. So they have 50/50.
Why didn't they split the sample into two parts Huh
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Higgs
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« Reply #16 on: July 26, 2016, 12:28:29 PM »

It’s really shocking that this narcissistic fake billionaire who has no clue about politics is even tied.

Says quite a bit about the state of the Clinton campaign.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #17 on: July 26, 2016, 12:28:41 PM »

It’s really shocking that this narcissistic fake billionaire who has no clue about politics is even tied.

America is in urban and racial chaos, and we are uncertain about America's military strength and cultural changes.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #18 on: July 26, 2016, 12:37:12 PM »

     This poll was conducted back to 7/18. Doesn't really seem like it would capture a bounce anyway.
Hm... 18 - 24 July. So they have 50/50.
Why didn't they split the sample into two parts Huh
Because it's a weekly tracking poll.

By the nature of it, it's going to be difficult to measure a bounce for either party.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #19 on: July 26, 2016, 01:36:18 PM »

So Trump is getting a "Romney bounce"
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Seriously?
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« Reply #20 on: July 26, 2016, 01:55:12 PM »

So Trump is getting a "Romney bounce"
Not true. There's a legit bounce somewhere between 2-4 points on aggregate. Hillary! was up in the 2-way by about 3 points last week. It's now Trump +.9.

Ditto for the 4-way conversation. We obviously do not have all the data points in yet.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #21 on: July 26, 2016, 02:06:21 PM »

I have edited the original post and headline. Again for this sub we want to keep the headlines to 'just the facts' and leave the commentary to the posts themselves.

So headlines should contain pollster, state of national, horserace number(s) or margin

Also original posts ideally contain
- Name of Media outlet and pollster
- Identify if national or state
- All available horse race numbers (2-way, 3-way, 4-way)
- All available samples (RV, LV and Adults)
- Link to source (ideally media article and to detailed poll if available)

Also nice to have
- change since last poll (especially with more frequent polls and trackers)
- methodology and MoE
- interesting crosstabs or details (this can also be in an additional comment to OP)
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