NH-InsideSources/NH Journal: Trump+9
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 05:10:29 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NH-InsideSources/NH Journal: Trump+9
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: NH-InsideSources/NH Journal: Trump+9  (Read 2811 times)
JRP1994
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,045


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 26, 2016, 10:15:46 AM »
« edited: July 26, 2016, 02:11:00 PM by Likely Voter »

http://www.insidesources.com/ayotte-leads-hassan-in-insidesourcesnh-journal-poll/

Trump: 47.9
Clinton: 38.5


PDF: http://www.insidesources.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/IS-NHJ-Poll-07.26.16.pdf
Logged
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2016, 10:16:45 AM »


Obviously ridiculous, but no white state is safe for Hillary.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2016, 10:21:55 AM »

Logged
JRP1994
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,045


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2016, 10:24:02 AM »


What ever happened to good ol' KCDem? Haha
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2016, 10:25:25 AM »

"InsideSources" what even is this pollster?
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2016, 10:43:46 AM »

"InsideSources" what even is this pollster?
Praecones Analytica
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-hampshire/

It looks lika an outlier; I'd wait for polls from more established pollsters /:
Logged
HagridOfTheDeep
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,720
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2016, 10:58:38 AM »

Probably fair to say that all the swing states except Virginia and Colorado would go to Trump if the election were held today.
Logged
StatesPoll
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 441
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2016, 10:58:56 AM »


1. 1166 RV <----- Pretty good size. Considering Total votes of NH = about 1/12 of FL
2. Even Liberal Nate Silver adjusted it as TRUMP +7%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-hampshire/][url]http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-hampshire/[/url]
3. So this poll = at least not a 'junk' poll.

Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 26, 2016, 11:12:40 AM »


It's probably best that you stop posting before someone makes the mistake of thinking you actually know what you're talking about.
Logged
Wells
MikeWells12
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,069
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 26, 2016, 01:20:15 PM »

I really hope this is true.
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 26, 2016, 02:11:43 PM »

Again I had to change the headline. Please keep the snark to the posts and keep the headlines just the facts.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,751
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 26, 2016, 02:13:17 PM »


You want Clinton to lose in a historic landslide? Tongue

Proving people wrong is far more than something stupid like winning an election.
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: July 26, 2016, 02:13:52 PM »

BTW, this appears to be a robopollster and their own PDF page notes the following...
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,843
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: July 27, 2016, 06:18:23 AM »

Poor demographics -- reject.
Logged
dspNY
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,802
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: July 27, 2016, 07:32:34 AM »

LOL no
Logged
LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: July 27, 2016, 07:39:40 AM »


Not sure if this is serious, but he got muted for receiving too many infraction posts and was a sock of Mondale84, so...
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,468
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: July 27, 2016, 08:33:44 AM »

Obviously junk. The Trumpster will lose NH by high single digits.
Logged
StatesPoll
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 441
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: July 27, 2016, 09:41:39 AM »
« Edited: July 27, 2016, 09:48:52 AM by StatesPoll »

Obviously junk. The Trumpster will lose NH by high single digits.

But even your Liberal Hero 'Nate Silver' adjusted it as TRUMP +7%(Poll-plus)

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-hampshire/#plus
Logged
MaxQue
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,600
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: July 27, 2016, 09:46:13 AM »

I would say the poll is invalid, as, if you look the PDF, the presidential question is last, after a push question about Hassan ethics.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: July 27, 2016, 10:09:30 AM »

This poll doesn't even list what make up of the party-id was.
Logged
Gabagool102
Rookie
**
Posts: 244
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 1.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: July 27, 2016, 10:16:21 AM »

Obviously junk. The Trumpster will lose NH by high single digits.

LOL, honestly you think Trump will loose ever single state.
Logged
LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: July 27, 2016, 11:04:20 AM »

Obviously junk. The Trumpster will lose NH by high single digits.

LOL, honestly you think Trump will loose ever single state.

Is this some reverse TNVol theory?
Logged
dirks
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 416


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: July 27, 2016, 12:58:58 PM »

Trump may be winning in NH as of now, and perhaps he can squeak by on election day...but +9? Even a Trump landslide it would not be +9 in NH
Logged
RJ
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 793
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: July 29, 2016, 02:46:05 PM »



LOL, honestly you think Trump will loose ever single state.

McCain lost by over 9 points here in 08'.

R+9 points from a state that hasn't been anywhere close to that since 1988? come on...
Logged
dirks
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 416


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: July 30, 2016, 02:25:32 PM »

White NH women LOVE the Clintons and will turn out in record setting numbers for Hillary. Trump can't carry this state if he's getting clobbered among NH females. Safe D.



LOL, honestly you think Trump will loose ever single state.

McCain lost by over 9 points here in 08'.

R+9 points from a state that hasn't been anywhere close to that since 1988? come on...

The GOP trying to win NH every two years reminds me of this:



See now that's too far in the other direction. Pennsylvania is Lucy with the football to the GOP. NH went Bush in 2000 and Kerry squeaked by by less than 2 points in 2004. Even the impotent Dole won a few counties there in 1996 (his only New England county wins)

It's unpredictable. Probable Clinton. But not safe Clinton
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.048 seconds with 15 queries.