Predict Clinton's convention bounce, based on Tuesday night

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Do it.

[Maxwell]

Every move of this election has shown that I don't know sh**t. Not going to predict right now. Ask me on Night 4 and I'll give you a wrong prediction.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Every move of this election has shown that I don't know sh**t. Not going to predict right now. Ask me on Night 4 and I'll give you a wrong prediction.

This. We're in a place where that thug is a chance of becoming President. I'm not making predictions about ANY-THING.

[Lachi]

I would think nearly 10% if it was only just based of Tuesday, but if every other day is like Tuesday, I honestly wouldn't be surprised if that bounce nearly doubled.

[Classic Conservative]

Every move of this election has shown that I don't know sh**t. Not going to predict right now. Ask me on Night 4 and I'll give you a wrong prediction.

[win win]

Hillary does best when she is not there.

[dspNY]

No idea. Remember much of the bounce is based on the nominee's speech

[Californiadreaming]

For now, I voted 1-2%.

[Xing]

It's too soon to tell, and like others have said, I'm not even sure any prediction I make on Thursday will be accurate.

[Devout Centrist]

Putting down "YUGE" because it's only night two and it's size will be determined by Thursday.

[PeteB]

Based on tonight and the voting options, I put 5-10%, but I suspect it will be around 5-7%. A lot will depend on Hillary Clinton's speech.

[Trapsy]

Hillary does best when she is not there.

Sad but true.

[ProudModerate2]

After night 2, my vote is/was + 5-10%.
Well see how the last 2 nights go.

[afleitch]

I think the polls will move back to how they were in early July. The gap between Hillary and Trump will be the same but there will be far fewer undecideds.

[StatesPoll]

I Predict

WSJ/Marist and Clinton News Network would conduct the poll(with skewed sampling, DEM>REP 10~13% and overweight age 18-29 group, sth like that). which is showing Hillary +5~6%.

[The Advocate]

5-10% would be my guess, but like others have said, this election is so unpredictable that we really can't accurately predict anything by conventional logic. But this Democratic Convention has been amazing and a tremendous display of emotion, unity, and hopefulness, which is the polar opposite of the anger, despair, and division of the Republican Convention. Only time will tell which sentiment wins in the end. Hopefully, in order to secure a YUGE convention bounce, Hillary's speech on Thursday will be centered on a message of unity for *all* Americans, regardless of race, religion, ethnicity, sexuality, gender identity, or political affiliation.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

I Predict

WSJ/Marist and Clinton News Network would conduct the poll(with skewed sampling, DEM>REP 10~13% and overweight age 18-29 group, sth like that). which is showing Hillary +5~6%.

18-29 year olds are actually statistically much less likely to be overweight than older age groups, sorry

[dspNY]

I think the polls will move back to how they were in early July. The gap between Hillary and Trump will be the same but there will be far fewer undecideds.

Before or after Comey?

[riceowl]

I would expect an 8% bounce as much as I would expect a 0% bounce; in that I think those are the 2 most likely options.

[Oakvale]

I dunno, obviously this election makes no sense but instead of saying "maybe five points!" or whatever I'm going to throw caution to the wind and say Clinton will surge to 10-15 point lead over Trump and never relinquish it.

[Pyro]

Enough to tie them, maybe +2.
Unless Clinton seriously goes after Trump, the numbers will stick where they are.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Hillary does best when she is not there.

[Sir Mohamed]

3-4 points.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

3-4 points. Hillary is a household name and has been in the public eye since the 1990s. She'll gain some support, but I don't see her picking up 8-10%. Plus, the convention has gone well so far because she hasn't been speaking.

[Senator-elect Spark]

2-3%