What is the chance of an October surprise?

[Pandaguineapig]

What do yous think the odds are of a new story in October that drastically changes the race ie; fallout or fine from the Trump university lawsuit or Russia deciding to leak all of Clinton's SOS emails

[win win]

Trump U isn't going to have any big effect.

Things I think might have a big effect:
Emails that are a lot worse than the current ones... maybe evidence of criminal activity.
Massive coordinated attacks right before the election by ISIS.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

A surprise big enough to change a lot of votes - 25%
A surprise that the media hypes up as a YUGE moment, but actually ends up meaning basically nothing - 55%
A boring last month - 20%

[Xing]

With Trump, some kind of October surprise seems inevitable.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

The same as any other year...

[Pandaguineapig]

The same as any other year...

I disagree trump has been involved in so many lawsuits and it has become clear that Russia has sos and dnc emails that they can leak to damage Clinton at any time they want

[Ljube]

October surprise is guaranteed.

[Vega]

Extremely high, with nearly equal chances for it to happen on either side. I could see a highly damaging Trump scandal likely having to do with his personal life or some beyond the pale racist comment coming out. Wouldn't rule out something having to do with Jeffery Epstein either.

The Clinton opposition research is probably sitting on a goldmine, whereas Trump probably doesn't even know what opposition research is other than shouting inane conspiracies, let alone have a campaign department dedicated to it.

[Crumpets]

Given that this election has averaged about 2 October surprises every month since April 2015, I'd say around 95%.

[Trapsy]

50%

[Mercenary]

Trump drops out of the race and admits to never actually wanting to be president. 99%

[Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself]

A major terrorist attack in October could happen, and would likely swing the election to trump.

[Redban]

A major ISIS attack is the only realistic surprise.

Hillary's criminal allegations have expired; Trump's lawsuits are civil matters and, thus, relatively inconsequential; the economy is more likely to grow than collapse; few gaffes can be worse than anything Trump has already said; and President Obama has a talent for staying out of drama, which means no Watergate is possible.

ISIS, hence, is all I can conjure.

[emailking]

The same as any other year...

I disagree trump has been involved in so many lawsuits and it has become clear that Russia has sos and dnc emails that they can leak to damage Clinton at any time they want

How is it clear they have Clinton's e-mails?

[Classic Conservative]

If an ISIS member crosses the Southern Border and blows himself up.

[Antonio the Sixth]

A Putin-manufactured "surprise" to help his puppet Drumpf is very likely. Hopefully American patriots will see through it, though.

[Angel of Death]

This whole election cycle has been one big October surprise, so the rule of irony dictates there will be none.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Trump's whole campaign is a surprise so it's imminent

[pbrower2a]

Both nominees are rather old, so a meeting by either with the Grim Reaper is more likely than usual in this Presidential year.

[Mister Mets]

With Trump refusing to release his tax returns, Hillary Clinton refusing to release her Goldman Sachs speeches, reporters and hackers digging into their backgrounds, rape accusations against the Republican nominee, and rape accusations against the Democratic nominee, I'm pretty sure there will be an October surprise. And a September surprise. And an August surprise.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

A Putin-manufactured "surprise" to help his puppet Drumpf is very likely. Hopefully American patriots will see through it, though.

No, the patriots will join Putin in his cause to make the world great again!

[ag]

The same as any other year...

I disagree trump has been involved in so many lawsuits and it has become clear that Russia has sos and dnc emails that they can leak to damage Clinton at any time they want

How is it clear they have Clinton's e-mails?

They, probably, do. The question is, how likely there is anything there that is of any consequence (given what we know - extremely unlikely). Though, of course, they (or Trump) could try forging.

[ag]

A Putin-manufactured "surprise" to help his puppet Drumpf is very likely. Hopefully American patriots will see through it, though.

No, the patriots will join Putin in his cause to make the world great again!

You confuse habitually confuse patriots and traitors.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

A Putin-manufactured "surprise" to help his puppet Drumpf is very likely. Hopefully American patriots will see through it, though.

No, the patriots will join Putin in his cause to make the world great again!

You confuse habitually confuse patriots and traitors.

One mans traitor is another mans patriot.

[ag]

A Putin-manufactured "surprise" to help his puppet Drumpf is very likely. Hopefully American patriots will see through it, though.

No, the patriots will join Putin in his cause to make the world great again!

You confuse habitually confuse patriots and traitors.

One mans traitor is another mans patriot.

It is very easy to distinguish. Those who want good for America are patriots. Those who want to destroy it are traitors. That, clearly makes you a traitor.