Is Oregon a legitimate battleground state now?
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Author Topic: Is Oregon a legitimate battleground state now?  (Read 4161 times)
Senator-elect Spark
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« on: July 27, 2016, 10:50:25 PM »
Polls show a slight Clinton lead but most were taken before the RNC.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #1 on: July 27, 2016, 10:51:20 PM »
No. Oregon is Safe D.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #2 on: July 27, 2016, 10:51:55 PM »
No.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #3 on: July 27, 2016, 10:52:04 PM »
No, a crummy pollster has showed it close twice.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #4 on: July 27, 2016, 10:52:43 PM »
"Excuse my French", but bleep off
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #5 on: July 27, 2016, 10:55:06 PM »
Unless a serious case of Virginia Senate 2014 happens, which is unlikely, no!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: July 27, 2016, 10:55:45 PM »
Quote from: Fusionmunster on July 27, 2016, 10:52:04 PM
No, a crummy pollster has showed it close twice.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #7 on: July 27, 2016, 11:00:15 PM »
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
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« Reply #8 on: July 27, 2016, 11:04:11 PM »
Hahahaha

"Is mayonnaise an instrument?"
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Seriously?
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« Reply #9 on: July 27, 2016, 11:06:38 PM »
That poll from Clout is garbage. Clout is as junky a pollster as GQR (Carville, Dem hacks and company) is on the left.

Oregon = the New Jersey of the left coast. You can't pump your own gas and the state teases like a stripper on the pole.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #10 on: July 27, 2016, 11:18:52 PM »
Quote from: Seriously? on July 27, 2016, 11:06:38 PM
That poll from Clout is garbage. Clout is as junky a pollster as GQR (Carville, Dem hacks and company) is on the left.

Oregon = the New Jersey of the left coast. You can't pump your own gas and the state teases like a stripper on the pole.

Just for that, Seriously?, I will keep you off of ignore.  For now.  Smiley
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #11 on: July 27, 2016, 11:26:23 PM »
Oregon is very much safe D. There's just not enough population in the consistently Republican areas to make the state competitive. Portland and its suburbs remain dominant.
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Ljube
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« Reply #12 on: July 27, 2016, 11:47:04 PM »
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Seriously?
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« Reply #13 on: July 27, 2016, 11:50:17 PM »
Quote from: Beef on July 27, 2016, 11:18:52 PM
Quote from: Seriously? on July 27, 2016, 11:06:38 PM
That poll from Clout is garbage. Clout is as junky a pollster as GQR (Carville, Dem hacks and company) is on the left.

Oregon = the New Jersey of the left coast. You can't pump your own gas and the state teases like a stripper on the pole.

Just for that, Seriously?, I will keep you off of ignore.  For now.  Smiley
While you can argue all you want over politics, numbers are numbers. You can't argue over them as much, but Clout is a terrible hackish pollster. They had the Indiana Republican primary as a tossup.
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #14 on: July 28, 2016, 12:01:52 AM »
LOL, Yeah no
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Illuminati Blood Drinker
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« Reply #15 on: July 28, 2016, 12:03:14 AM »


Christ, if Wainwright Analytics had become a thing...
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #16 on: July 28, 2016, 12:15:37 AM »
Quote from: Illuminati Blood Drinker on July 28, 2016, 12:03:14 AM


Christ, if Wainwright Analytics had become a thing...
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Santander
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« Reply #17 on: July 28, 2016, 12:16:30 AM »
Of course not.
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RI
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« Reply #18 on: July 28, 2016, 12:16:38 AM »
No, but it's possible Clinton fails to reach a majority here if third parties are strong enough.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #19 on: July 28, 2016, 12:18:24 AM »
Only if trump wins by 7+ which isn't going to happen
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #20 on: July 28, 2016, 12:29:23 AM »
Unless Stein can manage to pull 7-10% there, not a chance
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #21 on: July 28, 2016, 12:49:46 AM »
« Edited: July 28, 2016, 08:17:13 AM by StatesPoll »
Quote from: Spark498 on July 27, 2016, 10:50:25 PM
Polls show a slight Clinton lead but most were taken before the RNC.

why not?
I predicted Oregon could be a swing state in 2016 since several months ago.

1. Even Liberal Nate Silver adjusted this poll as Hillary +5%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/oregon/

2. Outdated Poll (July 9-13). Stein only got 2.9%
Now far much more Sanders Supporters are leaning toward Jill Stein.
PPIC CA Poll(July 10-19) Jill Stein got 6%.
I'm sure Jill stein would do better in Oregon than CA.
Stein got in Election 2012, Oregon: 1.09% > California:  0.66%
(Nader got 5% in Oregon as Green Party Candidate.)

if Stein gets 5%ish it would be dead heat.
if Stein gets 7%+ in Oregon = TRUMP wins for sure.



 
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nicholas.slaydon
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« Reply #22 on: July 28, 2016, 12:53:36 AM »
Is this a joke?
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Suburbia
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« Reply #23 on: July 28, 2016, 08:15:13 AM »
Lean D. If Stein makes s good play in Oregon, then tossup.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #24 on: July 28, 2016, 08:17:16 AM »
There is absolutely nothing in Oregon that favors Trump.   
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