Who'll win MO GOP Primary for Governor? (Aug. 2)
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  Who'll win MO GOP Primary for Governor? (Aug. 2)		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who'll get the GOP nod?
#1
John Brunner		  
#2
Eric Greitens		  
#3
Catherine Hanaway		  
#4
Peter Kinder		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 38

Author Topic: Who'll win MO GOP Primary for Governor? (Aug. 2)  (Read 1386 times)
Senator Cris
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« on: July 30, 2016, 03:45:05 PM »
Who'll win?
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #1 on: July 30, 2016, 04:03:50 PM »
Eric Greitens by 2 points.
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PPT Spiral
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« Reply #2 on: July 30, 2016, 04:18:05 PM »
I've seen the enthusiasm mainly go for Brunner and Greitens. Voted Brunner as he might have the best organization of the four.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #3 on: July 30, 2016, 04:18:59 PM »
Bold prediction:

Brunner 27.5%
Hanaway 25.5%
Kinder 24%
Greitens 23%
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: July 30, 2016, 10:11:53 PM »
An exact tie between Greitens and Brunner that goes to a recount where Brunner wins.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #5 on: July 30, 2016, 10:41:37 PM »
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: July 30, 2016, 10:51:21 PM »
I suspect that Kinders support almost completely evaporates upon election day, with the head to head being Greitens and Brunner. My best guess? Greitens takes it.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2016, 11:02:39 PM »
As someone who's currently in Missouri, I can assure you that Brunner has the most signs and ads, including radio. He will win, while Kinder will either severely over perform or under perform. Kinder is either under fifteen or over twenty five.
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Vosem
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« Reply #8 on: July 30, 2016, 11:05:36 PM »
Seems like Hanaway has some late momentum, but really the only surprise would be Kinder winning.
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SATW
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« Reply #9 on: July 30, 2016, 11:44:02 PM »
Greitens.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #10 on: July 30, 2016, 11:51:57 PM »
Quote from: Committeeman Kingpoleon on July 30, 2016, 11:02:39 PM
As someone who's currently in Missouri, I can assure you that Brunner has the most signs and ads, including radio. He will win, while Kinder will either severely over perform or under perform. Kinder is either under fifteen or over twenty five.
Seen/heard any Kinder signs or ads? IIRC, he started off with an early lead in the primary last year, and a small edge in the general. Then, he just went downhill. I guess he thought he was a shoo-in, it seems like he didn't do much campaigning until it was (probably) too late. I was originally rooting for him, but last month I switched to Greitens, who I think, is the best candidate.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #11 on: July 30, 2016, 11:53:49 PM »
From an across-the-border perspective, I think Greitens win by more than 5 points, though I would definitely prefer it if Hanaway pulled off the upset.
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PPT Spiral
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« Reply #12 on: July 31, 2016, 12:52:51 AM »
« Edited: July 31, 2016, 01:10:42 AM by Spiral »
Quote from: tmthforu94 on July 30, 2016, 11:53:49 PM
From an across-the-border perspective, I think Greitens win by more than 5 points, though I would definitely prefer it if Hanaway pulled off the upset.

If the election were held a month ago, Greitens would have won this way, though it's a lot more uncertain after he got bombarded the way Brunner did earlier. There's also been a big uptick in negative ads for Hanaway in the final week, while Kinder has gone pretty much untouched and forgotten. I think there's actually a non-negligible chance that Kinder could come out as the winner (or at least be in the top two) if voters are really disgusted by the circular firing squad over the airwaves. Kinder hasn't been aggressive in his campaign to say the least, though, and he's already had the stench of a has-been for a while, so I wouldn't bet on it.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #13 on: July 31, 2016, 01:08:41 AM »
Quote from: Heisenberg on July 30, 2016, 11:51:57 PM
Quote from: Committeeman Kingpoleon on July 30, 2016, 11:02:39 PM
As someone who's currently in Missouri, I can assure you that Brunner has the most signs and ads, including radio. He will win, while Kinder will either severely over perform or under perform. Kinder is either under fifteen or over twenty five.
Seen/heard any Kinder signs or ads? IIRC, he started off with an early lead in the primary last year, and a small edge in the general. Then, he just went downhill. I guess he thought he was a shoo-in, it seems like he didn't do much campaigning until it was (probably) too late. I was originally rooting for him, but last month I switched to Greitens, who I think, is the best candidate.
None. I've been up here two or three weeks this summer and Brunner has the most ads.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #14 on: July 31, 2016, 04:46:36 AM »
Peter Kinder, narrowly.
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JMT
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« Reply #15 on: July 31, 2016, 09:34:40 AM »
I think Brunner narrowly wins. Not sure about margins, but Brunner comes in first, followed by Greitens in 2nd, Hanaway in 3rd, and Kinder in 4th.
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« Reply #16 on: July 31, 2016, 10:24:53 AM »
John Brunner will win the primary. I thought Hanaway would do well, but she'll be third place.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #17 on: July 31, 2016, 12:37:48 PM »
Hopefully Greitens
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windjammer
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« Reply #18 on: July 31, 2016, 02:16:15 PM »
Peter Kinder (not sure)
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #19 on: July 31, 2016, 02:35:17 PM »
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #20 on: August 01, 2016, 09:05:01 PM »
Hopefully Brunner!  Henaway started an anti-semitic whisper campaign against one of her opponents, Kinder had an awful sex scandal, and Greitens seems like a generally revolting human being.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #21 on: August 02, 2016, 07:49:12 AM »
Updated prediction:

Greitens 28%
Brunner 25%
Kinder 24.5%
Hanaway 22.5%
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Ebsy
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« Reply #22 on: August 02, 2016, 08:04:05 PM »
Looks like Kinder is in dead last. Will probably either be Greitens or Brunner.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #23 on: August 02, 2016, 09:56:48 PM »
In the Dem Senate Primary, Chief Wana Dubie got 10%
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« Reply #24 on: August 02, 2016, 10:04:01 PM »

Greitens won. Koster vs. Greitens. It looks like a Tossup.
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/republican-governors-race-tops-primary-contests-missouri-41078639
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