KY-SEN 2020: McConnell likely to run for seventh term
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  KY-SEN 2020: McConnell likely to run for seventh term
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Author Topic: KY-SEN 2020: McConnell likely to run for seventh term  (Read 2192 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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« on: July 31, 2016, 10:18:49 PM »

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Kentucky) says he will most likely seek a seventh term in office in 2020. He defeated Alison Lundergan Grimes in a competitive Senate 2014 midterm race for a sixth term by 15 points. Which Kentucky Democrat can give him a tough challenge?

http://www.richmondregister.com/news/mcconnell-says-great-likelihood-he-ll-seek-another-term/article_36584d42-578e-11e6-a02a-f3b759125319.html
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2016, 10:21:07 PM »

Ugh... I was really hoping he would retire so Massie could run.

Which Kentucky Democrat can give him a tough challenge?

No one.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2016, 10:27:37 PM »

Disgusting!
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Santander
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« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2016, 10:31:39 PM »

I'll probably end up voting for him again.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: July 31, 2016, 10:37:16 PM »

hope Steve Beshear has some high energy nephew or something.

I mean Andy Beshear is cool but I kind of want him to beat Bevin for Governor in 2019.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: July 31, 2016, 10:41:38 PM »

hope Steve Beshear has some high energy nephew or something.

I mean Andy Beshear is cool but I kind of want him to beat Bevin for Governor in 2019.

Meh, Bevin can wreck Kentucky if he wants. I'd prefer to stop them from foisting McConnell on the entire country.
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #6 on: July 31, 2016, 10:43:41 PM »

When the useless Senate dinosaurs just won't die already

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Vega
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« Reply #7 on: July 31, 2016, 10:47:58 PM »

I wouldn't be surprised if this is the election that his luck runs out.
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JMT
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« Reply #8 on: July 31, 2016, 10:49:56 PM »

Ugh... I was really hoping he would retire so Massie could run.

Which Kentucky Democrat can give him a tough challenge?

No one.

Yeah, likely no one. Democrats put a lot of effort into defeating McConnell last time, and Grimes didn't even come close to winning. As much as I'd like to see McConnell lose, I don't think it's gonna happen
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Vega
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« Reply #9 on: July 31, 2016, 10:53:25 PM »

Ugh... I was really hoping he would retire so Massie could run.

Which Kentucky Democrat can give him a tough challenge?

No one.

Yeah, likely no one. Democrats put a lot of effort into defeating McConnell last time, and Grimes didn't even come close to winning. As much as I'd like to see McConnell lose, I don't think it's gonna happen

Grimes was objectively a bad candidate, and it was in the middle of a low-turnout Republican wave. Back in 2008 when he was just semi-unpopular he nearly lost to Lunsford, who was also a less than stellar candidate.
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #10 on: July 31, 2016, 10:55:08 PM »

To be fair, Grimes is no less guilty for her loss as the hostile atmosphere at the time.  Voters that year did not want to reward cuckgressives who retreated from the important battles, and from Obama.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #11 on: July 31, 2016, 10:57:09 PM »

Ugh... I was really hoping he would retire so Massie could run.

Which Kentucky Democrat can give him a tough challenge?

No one.

Yeah, likely no one. Democrats put a lot of effort into defeating McConnell last time, and Grimes didn't even come close to winning. As much as I'd like to see McConnell lose, I don't think it's gonna happen

Grimes was objectively a bad candidate, and it was in the middle of a low-turnout Republican wave. Back in 2008 when he was just semi-unpopular he nearly lost to Lunsford, who was also a less than stellar candidate.

Andy Beshear could run, but due to Kentucky's awkward statewide schedule, he would need to win re-election in 2019 before entering the race or give up AG and just focus on running from the beginning. Not only that, but he would need to hope for a Democratic-friendly year, and if Hillary is in the white house reaching for a fourth term for Democrats, that's going to be nearly impossible, even with an unpopular McConnell.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #12 on: July 31, 2016, 10:59:17 PM »

Hopefully Ben Chandler, Adam Edelen or Andy Beshear runs for this seat.
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JMT
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« Reply #13 on: July 31, 2016, 11:03:08 PM »

Ugh... I was really hoping he would retire so Massie could run.

Which Kentucky Democrat can give him a tough challenge?

No one.

Yeah, likely no one. Democrats put a lot of effort into defeating McConnell last time, and Grimes didn't even come close to winning. As much as I'd like to see McConnell lose, I don't think it's gonna happen

Grimes was objectively a bad candidate, and it was in the middle of a low-turnout Republican wave. Back in 2008 when he was just semi-unpopular he nearly lost to Lunsford, who was also a less than stellar candidate.

I agree that Grimes didn't end up being the best candidate, and nationally the political climate was a disaster for Democrats in 2014. But 2008 provides a perfect contrast; a presidential year with extremely high turnout. 2008, in my opinion, largely was a Democratic wave, unlike 2014, which was an enormous Republican wave. Even in the 2008 political climate, McConnell won by 6 points. Yes, I suppose that's somewhat close, but I wouldn't say he "nearly lost." In fact, I think a 6 point victory is a pretty healthy margin of victory. McConnell aside, Kentucky has also just been voting for more Republicans in recent years, the state is clearly trending Republican. For example, Jack Conway was largely regarded as the frontrunner in last year's Governor race, but Matt Bevin, a candidate with significant political flaws, managed to win by nearly 10 points.  

So with that said, is McConnell completely safe for reelection in 2020? Of course not, a lot could change between now and then. I just don't see Democrats recruiting a top tier challenger, and even if they did, I think McConnell still starts the race as the favorite.
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JMT
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« Reply #14 on: July 31, 2016, 11:05:28 PM »

Hopefully Ben Chandler, Adam Edelen or Andy Beshear runs for this seat.

I still think McConnell would be the favorite to win against any of them, but I hope one of them runs too. That would at least put the race in play, or if there's a large Democratic wave that year, they could maybe win (I still view it as unlikely, though).
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: July 31, 2016, 11:52:47 PM »

If only Edelen hadn't lost. Shoot, Safe R.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #16 on: July 31, 2016, 11:54:32 PM »

Andy or Steve Beshear have my endorsement if they run, but McConnell isn't going to actually lose.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #17 on: August 01, 2016, 12:02:51 AM »

The horror...
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Trapsy
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« Reply #18 on: August 01, 2016, 02:15:59 AM »

There are no strong democrats in these deep red states. Grimes was so spineless.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #19 on: August 01, 2016, 03:21:57 AM »

I don't know why people are blaming Grimes. As if any other Democrat would've won? Give me a break. Kentucky is just gone for the Democrats.
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windjammer
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« Reply #20 on: August 01, 2016, 06:01:25 AM »

Mcconnell is so unpopular, I don't expect him to lose (normal), but that would be stupid for the democrats not to even try.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #21 on: August 01, 2016, 06:12:17 AM »

Glorious news!
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« Reply #22 on: August 01, 2016, 02:56:40 PM »

I don't know why people are blaming Grimes. As if any other Democrat would've won? Give me a break. Kentucky is just gone for the Democrats.

Uh, Andy Beshear won as a non-incumbent last year.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #23 on: August 01, 2016, 05:03:30 PM »

I don't know why people are blaming Grimes. As if any other Democrat would've won? Give me a break. Kentucky is just gone for the Democrats.

Uh, Andy Beshear won as a non-incumbent last year.
And he was the son of the popular out going Governor.  I mean, do you really think he would have won if not for that. 
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PAK Man
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« Reply #24 on: August 01, 2016, 10:02:05 PM »

If only Edelen hadn't lost. Shoot, Safe R.

Why, exactly, would that stop him? Especially since Matt Bevin lost a race and was able to come back and win later. And people seem to forget that Edelen just barely lost.
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