Predict The 2020 GOP Primary Results With These Conditions
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  Predict The 2020 GOP Primary Results With These Conditions
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Free Bird
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« on: August 03, 2016, 06:50:00 AM »
« edited: August 03, 2016, 08:45:34 AM by FreePhoenix »

- Trump loses, but does better than Romney in the PV
- Paul Ryan and Marco Rubio decline to run early
- Ted Cruz is reelected
- The 2018 Midterms lead to GOP victories in the Indiana, North Dakota, Montana, and Missouri for a 54-46 edge once again, and maintaining their current Governorships plus Connecticut and Colorado.

Who runs and wins?
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Penelope
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« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2016, 07:09:27 AM »

Who knows?

That said, probably someone who isn't Ted Cruz, but is able to court the evangelicals while taking up Trump's mantle as the far-right populist candidate.
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Pericles
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« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2016, 08:08:53 AM »

Tom Cotton unites Trump it's and conservatives to beat Cruz.
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LLR
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« Reply #3 on: August 03, 2016, 08:10:08 AM »

Haley beats Sasse, Ryan, and Gardner.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #4 on: August 03, 2016, 12:49:12 PM »


Former Governor John Kasich - 40.4%
Senator Marco Rubio - 30.3%
Senator Benjamin Sasse - 20.6%
Senator Ted Cruz - 8.4%
Others - .1%
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Seneca
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« Reply #5 on: August 03, 2016, 05:02:21 PM »

Cruz wins but comes in third in the GE after some self-funding billionaire picks up Trump's mantel.
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #6 on: August 03, 2016, 06:12:21 PM »



Fmr. Gov. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 18 states + DC, nominee, wins general
Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX): 20 states, dropped out after the last primaries and endorsed Haley
Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 8 states, dropped out in late March and endorsed Haley
Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR): 2 states, dropped out after Super Tuesday and endorsed Cruz
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Medal506
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2016, 06:26:41 PM »




Senator Ted Cruz - 35 states 55.6% Secured the nomination 6/9/20
Governor Bruce Rauner - 11 states 21.5% withdrew 6/9/20
Senator Tom Cotton 4 states 13.5% withdrew 3/10/20 (endorsed Ted Cruz)

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Figueira
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« Reply #8 on: October 07, 2016, 12:57:12 AM »

You left out the results of the 2016 Senate races. For example, if Kelly Ayotte survives, I could see her being a candidate in the 2020 primaries, but she's probably at a political dead end if she loses.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #9 on: October 07, 2016, 04:16:15 PM »

You left out the results of the 2016 Senate races. For example, if Kelly Ayotte survives, I could see her being a candidate in the 2020 primaries, but she's probably at a political dead end if she loses.
I'm wondering how on earth the GOP picks up Montana but not West Virginia or Virginia. Jon Tester is a far stronger incumbent and the GOP bench is very, very, very weak in Montana.

Montana Republicans: Brad Johnson, Ryan Zinke, Jeff Essmann, Jon Sonju, and Rob O'Neill.
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