Updated Ceilings For Both Candidates
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  Updated Ceilings For Both Candidates
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Author Topic: Updated Ceilings For Both Candidates  (Read 483 times)
RINO Tom
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« on: August 03, 2016, 12:01:58 PM »

Both connections have come and gone, and it's been a ... busy week.  What do you think the ceiling is for the two main candidates as of now?

Of course, this is a pretty maps exercise, kids.
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Broken System
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« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2016, 12:14:44 PM »

I don't think this makes much sense. The whole point of ceilings is to demonstrate a candidate's best results if hypothetically everything goes right for that candidate. Why should this change based off of a candidate's week-to-week polling?
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2016, 12:15:38 PM »

The best that either candidate could possibly do:



Sec. Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA): 406 EVs
Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY)/Gov. Mike Pence (R-IN): 132 EVs



Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY)/Gov. Mike Pence (R-IN): 322 EVs
Sec. Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA): 216 EVs

Both ceilings have a few minor changes from the thread that was posted a couple days ago.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #3 on: August 03, 2016, 12:16:13 PM »
« Edited: August 03, 2016, 01:06:35 PM by HagridOfTheDeep »

I don't think this makes much sense. The whole point of ceilings is to demonstrate a candidate's best results if hypothetically everything goes right for that candidate. Why should this change based off of a candidate's week-to-week polling?

It's possible Trump has now done irreparable damage to himself.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #4 on: August 03, 2016, 12:29:33 PM »

At this point, Trump probably has a floor in the low 40s, and a ceiling at Romney's 2012 result.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #5 on: August 03, 2016, 12:45:37 PM »

I don't think this makes much sense. The whole point of ceilings is to demonstrate a candidate's best results if hypothetically everything goes right for that candidate. Why should this change based off of a candidate's week-to-week polling?

It's possible Trump has now don irreparable damage.

That was my thought process.  I very much belief Trump has lowered his ceiling to RIGHT around 270 now.  There's a sizable portion of the electorate that he might have given a "final straw" in the last week.  Hell, he's being so controversial that established Republicans who've voted straight ticket for decades are endorsing Hillary Clinton just to ensure he doesn't get the nuclear codes.
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Wells
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« Reply #6 on: August 03, 2016, 12:54:29 PM »



Clinton 53% (476 EVs)
Trump 38% (62 EVs)



Clinton 43% (223 EVs)
Trump 48% (315 EVs)
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: August 03, 2016, 01:00:13 PM »

Hillary's ceiling:



Trump's ceiling:

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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #8 on: August 03, 2016, 01:43:09 PM »

Clinton:


Trump:
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