Gallup Trump & Clinton favorability numbers megathread
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Author Topic: Gallup Trump & Clinton favorability numbers megathread  (Read 4052 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: August 03, 2016, 02:20:53 PM »
« edited: August 22, 2016, 08:54:57 PM by Likely Voter »

Gallup does a daily tracking of favourables, using a 7-day rolling average:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/189299/presidential-election-2016-key-indicators.aspx

The last one is from July 27-August 2, 2016:

Hillary

43% favourable
52% unfavourable

Up from 37-58 before the DNC.

(Hillary's rise could still continue, because the DNC only ended on July 28)

Trump

33% favourable
62% unfavourable

Down from 37-58 after the GOP convention.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: August 05, 2016, 01:15:30 AM »

#HillarySoPopular
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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #2 on: August 05, 2016, 01:19:47 AM »

Everything's relative.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #3 on: August 05, 2016, 01:20:38 AM »

If Hillary's favorable/unfavorable get to ~45/50, that's going to be a serious problem for Trump. Without a big new story about emails or whatever, those are going to shift massively anymore, I don't think. With how far ahead she is in questions like "fit to be C-in-C", 45/50 will be more than enough.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #4 on: August 05, 2016, 04:07:39 AM »

I didn't know Gallup was doing this.
Kool.
Thanks for sharing it.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: August 05, 2016, 01:18:08 PM »

Today, Hillary's favourables have dropped again, to 41-54.

Trump's are up to 33-62.
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PeteB
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« Reply #6 on: August 05, 2016, 01:21:16 PM »

This just reinforces how voters are "begging" for an alternative to Clinton. 

Unfortunately for Trump, he is not it!
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #7 on: August 05, 2016, 05:55:41 PM »

Yeah, she's getting flack for her responses to questions on the emails again.  She really just needs to admit she ed up and apologize, and stop trying to make excuses.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #8 on: August 05, 2016, 06:30:11 PM »

Today, Hillary's favourables have dropped again, to 41-54.

Trump's are up to 33-62.
Convention bounce beginning to fade.
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dspNY
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« Reply #9 on: August 22, 2016, 04:04:41 PM »

Right now Hillary's favorables are 42/54
Trump's are 32/63
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Baki
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« Reply #10 on: August 22, 2016, 04:10:11 PM »

Today, Hillary's favourables have dropped again, to 41-54.

Trump's are up to 33-62.
Convention bounce beginning to fade.

No.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #11 on: August 22, 2016, 04:17:24 PM »

Right now Hillary's favorables are 42/54
Trump's are 32/63
As Harry Enten notes, that means that, like the state polls, the favorables have shown no movement since the convention bounce and, in fact, have improved a tiny bit for Clinton since then.
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dspNY
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« Reply #12 on: August 22, 2016, 04:18:14 PM »
« Edited: August 22, 2016, 04:20:48 PM by dspNY »

Right now Hillary's favorables are 42/54
Trump's are 32/63
As Harry Enten notes, that means that, like the state polls, the favorables have shown no movement since the convention bounce and, in fact, have improved a tiny bit for Clinton since then.

This is Gallup's way of saying Clinton has a high single digit lead without putting out actual horserace numbers. When one candidate's favorables are 10 points better than the other, there's no way the race is +1 towards the less popular candidate like the LA Times poll or +1 towards the more popular candidate like the UPI poll. Gallup's #s are actually more in line with how both parties are behaving (GOP cutting loose Trump and Dems trying to figure out how big their win is going to be)
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #13 on: August 22, 2016, 04:42:01 PM »

Ouch! Those numbers looks terrible for Trump Sad
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #14 on: August 22, 2016, 08:53:55 PM »

Ouch! Those numbers looks terrible for Trump Sad

Terrible numbers for a terrible human being.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #15 on: August 29, 2016, 05:45:48 PM »

Clinton is back again to her [almost] all-time low.

Clinton is at 38/56. Her all-time low 37/58
Trump is at 33/61. His all-time high 37/58; the same as Clinton's all-time low Grin

What does it mean? Yeah, red hacks who laughed at Seriously? threads ("who cares", "but Trump") are not laughing anymore now, are they? @ Nigele Farage
Those little and big scandals did hurt. They did create "Clinton is corrupt" narrative Smiley

On other hand, Trump can not break 33%. "Beeing nice" helped just marginally Sad (Trump's tweet about Dwyane 28 will probably impact?)
Hopefully, he won't need it. He might bring her down instead. Easier [?] and much more fun Cheesy

Note, that this is among "National Adults" what Hillary should, at least in theory, benefit from. If they asked RV/LV, it would probably be tie.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/189299/presidential-election-2016-key-indicators.aspx

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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #16 on: August 31, 2016, 09:51:16 AM »

Note, that this is among "National Adults" what Hillary should, at least in theory, benefit from. If they asked RV/LV, it would probably be tie.

I'm probably right. It is the case in latest ABC poll.

Quote
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http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/poll-clinton-unpopularity-high-par-trump/story?id=41752050
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #17 on: August 31, 2016, 01:30:56 PM »

But why is Clinton doing so much worse now than a week or two ago. I don't really see what could have happened to change the race like that. Unless it is just her convention bounce finally fading away. Seems strange...
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #18 on: August 31, 2016, 01:33:32 PM »

But why is Clinton doing so much worse now than a week or two ago. I don't really see what could have happened to change the race like that. Unless it is just her convention bounce finally fading away. Seems strange...

Could be just be some random noise, could have something to do with labor day week.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #19 on: August 31, 2016, 01:38:28 PM »

But why is Clinton doing so much worse now than a week or two ago. I don't really see what could have happened to change the race like that. Unless it is just her convention bounce finally fading away. Seems strange...

The emails were once again in the news. Everytime they pop up, she falls in the polls ...
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #20 on: August 31, 2016, 01:44:42 PM »

But why is Clinton doing so much worse now than a week or two ago. I don't really see what could have happened to change the race like that. Unless it is just her convention bounce finally fading away. Seems strange...

Since when is 3% "much worse"?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #21 on: August 31, 2016, 01:50:39 PM »

Today's numbers for August 24-30: Trump 33-61 (-28), Clinton 39-55 (-16).

Interestingly enough, Trump has actually had 33% for the last 9 polls in a row.
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BlueSwan
blueswan
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« Reply #22 on: August 31, 2016, 01:51:59 PM »

But why is Clinton doing so much worse now than a week or two ago. I don't really see what could have happened to change the race like that. Unless it is just her convention bounce finally fading away. Seems strange...

Since when is 3% "much worse"?
If she has indeed lost 3%-points against Trump then that is definitely a pretty big change. It's more or less a convention sized change.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #23 on: August 31, 2016, 10:43:31 PM »

But why is Clinton doing so much worse now than a week or two ago. I don't really see what could have happened to change the race like that. Unless it is just her convention bounce finally fading away. Seems strange...

The emails were once again in the news. Everytime they pop up, she falls in the polls ...

And that's not a coincidence. The media wants a horse race. Whenever she starts to pull too far ahead, they spam more about the emails. It's like clockwork at this point.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #24 on: September 01, 2016, 03:24:35 PM »

Today's numbers for August 24-30: Trump 33-61 (-28), Clinton 39-55 (-16).

Interestingly enough, Trump has actually had 33% for the last 9 polls in a row.
10 today!
Hillary back to 38/56 Smiley
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