Madison County, ID

[Bandit3 the Worker]

How will this county fare in November?

In 2012, Romney beat Obama there by 93% to 6%. But it's overpoweringly Mormon and has a Mormon college.

The county is so Republican that it's hard to see Trump losing it, but how much does the gap narrow? I still think it's a Trump +20 county.

[Holmes]

It will probably be a microcosm of how Utah will vote.

[Podgy the Bear]

There's an article from 10 years ago about Madison County's being the reddest (blue in Atlas fashion) place in the country:

http://www.salon.com/2006/10/24/reddest_state/


That said, it will be as Madison County goes, so goes Utah.  Will probably turn out 60-30-10  for Trump-Johnson-Clinton.

[ElectionsGuy]

My guess

Trump: 72%
Clinton: 17%
Johnson/Other: 11%

[Zioneer]

There's an article from 10 years ago about Madison County's being the reddest (blue in Atlas fashion) place in the country:

http://www.salon.com/2006/10/24/reddest_state/


That said, it will be as Madison County goes, so goes Utah.  Will probably turn out 60-30-10  for Trump-Johnson-Clinton.

Yeah, Madison County has very close demographics to Utah, or at least Utah County in the state of Utah, so however it goes will indicate something about Utah's votes. I say 55-35-15 for Trump-Clinton-Johnson though.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

My prediction:
Trump 67%
Clinton 18%
Johnson 14%