Unskewing megathread - Latest: Trump will win in landslide because Twitter (user search)
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  Unskewing megathread - Latest: Trump will win in landslide because Twitter (search mode)
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Author Topic: Unskewing megathread - Latest: Trump will win in landslide because Twitter  (Read 4825 times)
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« on: August 10, 2016, 12:09:51 PM »

That's stupid, because they should really weigh their results by population. It's not like people in Alaska are going to vote at the same numbers as people in California. And what's their phone bill after 50,000 phone calls?

I have questions.

1. Did they use a random-digit dialer? Live interviewer or IVR, and were their known effects controlled?
2. Did they call cell phones or provide Spanish-language options? Blended-frame?
3. What were the timeframe and calling hours? How many attempts per number?
4. How did they randomize within households?
5. What demographic data was collected?
6. Were questions and answers randomized in any way?
7. Was the questionnaire tested for wording and order effects?
8. Was a likely voter screen applied? How hard were leaners pushed?
9. Was the sample weighted, and how? ACS, voter reg, both? Was aging out/in a factor? Was the process simultaneous, iterative, or both?
10. Do they know how to calculate the margin of error for each proportion? What confidence level was used?


More important question: Are they just lying out their asses?
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2016, 07:36:23 PM »

I'm not sure this is the right thread for this, but someone has posted a fake "leaked" internal PPP poll of Florida at https://www.scribd.com/document/321417522/Ppp-Internal-Raw. It shows...

...wait for it...

74% Donald Trump
9% Hillary Clinton
3% Jill Stein
1% Gary Johnson
6% Undecided

Read the whole thing.  It's hilarious.

To be fair, it might be a valid result if the 15th and 19th Amendments had never passed, which is probably the America the people who posted that wish they lived in.
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