But honestly, what states will Clinton /actually/ win?

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Running this poll for 7 days to get a feel for the post-convention mood.

[Xing]

The first four, with a chance of getting Arizona and NE-02. (and South Dakota)

[Redban]

PA and FL.

OH and IA are still possible for Trump once the convention bounce fades.

NC will be tough.

States are AZ, IN, GA, UT etc are just hype created by the Hillary supporters on this site. They are Trump states.

[HAnnA MArin County]

The first four, with a chance of getting Arizona and NE-02. (and South Dakota)

^^This.

Lol at whoever voted for North/South Dakota or Montana.

[5280]

2012 redux, shes not winning more than that. The other states are just hyped by the Clinton fans.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Based on where the race is today, I checked everything through NE-02.  If Trump continues to circle the drain, I'd possibly add MO, TX, and UT.  Anything beyond that is a real stretch.  OTOH, if he stops the bleeding a bit, I'd take away GA, NE-02, and maybe AZ.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Too early to tell.

If you had to guess, though?  I'm interested to see how opinions shift over the next couple of months.  I'll probably run this poll again in September and October.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I think Clinton will pick up these states from last time: North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Alaska, Missouri, Montana, Indiana, and Utah. The way things are going, she has a very real chance of picking up most of the remaining states.

[LLR]

SOUTH CAROLINA

and FL, OH, PA, NC, AZ, GA

[evergreenarbor]

Obama '12 plus NC and AZ. Possibly GA as well.

[Spark]

I believe she actually has a chance now to win PA, that's about it. Doubt she flips any Romney states at this point.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

I see the Republicans on here are just as delusional as in late 2012.

[Crumpets]

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I think Clinton will pick up these states from last time: North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Alaska, Missouri, Montana, Indiana, and Utah. The way things are going, she has a very real chance of picking up most of the remaining states.

As a member of a gang of Indianapolis anti-fascists, I can assure you we will do everything in our power to deliver the Hoosier State for Clinton.  But I very much doubt we'll be successful.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

PA, OH, FL, NC, AZ

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

The way things are going right now, this:

The way I believe things will go, this:

[GMantis]

As it stands now, the first four. But Georgian and Arizona would be quite close.

[Ronnie]

I voted for all of the above, except Indiana, NE-01, and Kansas.  All three of them will be close, though.

[Wells]

The first seven.

[Speed of Sound]

Maybe it's just years of bad memories and handwringing, but I just don't trust Ohio to come through. By November, I expect her to win PA/FL/NC, and I'm wavering on GA/AZ.

[The Other Castro]

Sleeper State Alaska!

[ShadowRocket]

OH, FL, PA, and NC, and I feel good about her chances in NE-2. Her pulling it off in AZ, GA, IN, and MO wouldn't surprise if things keep going the way they are.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

OH, FL, PA, and NC, and I feel good about her chances in NE-2. Her pulling it off in AZ, GA, IN, and MO wouldn't surprise if things keep going the way they are.

My guess is the campaign will probably pick one of AZ, GA, or MO to focus on, unless Trump implodes to the point that they feel comfortable shifting resources out of large states like FL or OH.