Who Wins Georgia?

[Frodo]

Now that the polls have proven -at the very least- that the state is competitive now.  

[RaphaelDLG]

Ray Charles' reanimated corpse

[Dr. Arch]

IDK. If Trump keeps flailing down the abyss, she will win it.

[Xing]

I want to believe that Hillary has a real chance here, but my gut tells me that Trump will hang on.

[nicholas.slaydon]

Trump. Georgia is not a real swing state.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Trump. The margin in the rural areas will be too much to overcome and plus a few polls with her leading don't mean much at this point. We have to see how the race will settle down.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Those southern whites will break hard for Trump in the end. Though it wouldn't be impossible for Clinton to win a plurality if Trump completely collapses.

[MIKESOWELL]

My instincts tell me that Trump will win it. However, I am starting to wonder if Georgia will be in this election, what Virginia was to the Democrats in 2008, a breakthrough state after years of GOP dominance at the national level.

[Eraserhead]

It'll probably be fairly close but it's tough for Democrats to get over the hump there.

[andrew_c]

If the election was today, probably Trump by a razor-thin margin. Clinton would win if Trump continues to self-destruct.

[NeverAgain]

My heart says Hillary, my head says Trump.

[Human]

Donald Trump, very narrowly.

[Adam Griffin]

Georgia flies past low-energy North Carolina and delivers its 16 electoral votes to Clinton, sounding the death knell for the Republican Party for the next 20 years.

[Redban]

Now that the polls have proven -at the very least- that the state is competitive now.  

Until PPP, Quinnipiac, Rasmussen, Marist, CNN, and / or Fox show Georgia competitive, then I will not believe.

At the moment, the only recent polls have been from low-ranking JMC and some unknown "Atlanta Journal":

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ga/georgia_trump_vs_clinton-5741.html#polls

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Georgia flies past low-energy North Carolina and delivers its 16 electoral votes to Clinton, sounding the death knell for the Republican Party for the next 20 years.

Like it did when Bill won it in 1992?

[Wells]

Now that the polls have proven -at the very least- that the state is competitive now.  

Until PPP, Quinnipiac, Rasmussen, Marist, CNN, and / or Fox show Georgia competitive, then I will not believe.

At the moment, the only recent polls have been from low-ranking JMC and some unknown "Atlanta Journal":

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ga/georgia_trump_vs_clinton-5741.html#polls

You mean the Atlanta Journal that correctly called the 2014 races in GA?

[Sir Mohamed]

I’m bold now: Hillary wins by an one percent margin.

[IceSpear]

Probably Trump.

[BaldEagle1991]

Trump but it will be close.

[Maxwell]

I'm sticking with Trump by 3 or 4.

[ElectionsGuy]

Trump. Georgia is not a real swing state.

[Virginiá]

Georgia flies past low-energy North Carolina and delivers its 16 electoral votes to Clinton, sounding the death knell for the Republican Party for the next 20 years.

Like it did when Bill won it in 1992?

The GOP is on extremely shaky ground right now in the electoral college. Too many (previously) reliably red states are flipping due to years-long trends. Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Colorado, and eventually, Arizona and Georgia... Meanwhile, the GOP has little hope for putting EV-rich blue states into their column right now to offset such losses. Even the states they stand the best chance with in the next generation are losing electoral votes to the states Democrats are snatching away from them.

So yes, Georgia becoming even a tossup would really damage their electoral prospects at the national level. This wouldn't be like 1992 at all.

[jamestroll]

I am quite convinced Clinton will win the state, if the political climate and conditions of today are the same or similar on election day.

Let's not kid ourselves, if the election was held today, Clinton would likely win Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and Missouri.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Hillary Clinton 50-48

[Vosem]

Still think Trump is probably slightly likelier as of this moment, but a Clinton win would not surprise me at all.

An interesting question -- I know in 2014 the Georgia runoff was slated to be held after the start of the next Congress in January 2015, which would've given the new Senator a seniority disadvantage. If Isakson is drawn into a runoff with Barksdale, while his victory is probably a foregone conclusion, could he be excluded for the Senate for a few days and lose his seniority?