Hillary Clinton's best performing areas/regions in South Carolina in GE
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  Hillary Clinton's best performing areas/regions in South Carolina in GE
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Author Topic: Hillary Clinton's best performing areas/regions in South Carolina in GE  (Read 733 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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« on: August 11, 2016, 06:09:06 PM »
« edited: August 11, 2016, 06:23:22 PM by bronz4141 »

What parts of South Carolina can Hillary Clinton perform the best in the general election against Republican Donald Trump?
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AGA
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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2016, 06:17:27 PM »

Eastern South Carolina where there are a lot of African-Americans.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2016, 06:21:45 PM »

It depends on how you define regions/areas....

Are we talking Piedmont/Midlands/Lowlands, metro areas, counties, etc.....?

I think it is difficult to answer the question as currently worded, with at least a common reference point. Smiley
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2016, 06:23:11 PM »

It depends on how you define regions/areas....

Are we talking Piedmont/Midlands/Lowlands, metro areas, counties, etc.....?

I think it is difficult to answer the question as currently worded, with at least a common reference point. Smiley

Sorry about that. Which regions and areas will she do the best?
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Lachi
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« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2016, 06:34:11 PM »

Probably Eastern South Carolina and the areas in and around Columbia.
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2016, 06:48:38 PM »

The Black Belt
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2016, 06:51:15 PM »

I was expecting a map in here by this point Sad
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #7 on: August 11, 2016, 06:55:06 PM »

I was expecting a map in here by this point Sad



So going by this I would say, Central SC first, Coastal SC secondly, and Piedmont third.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #8 on: August 11, 2016, 06:56:09 PM »

I was expecting a map in here by this point Sad



So going by this I would say, Central SC first, Coastal SC secondly, and Piedmont third.

Smiley
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2016, 06:57:42 PM »

If anyone has a better map that breaks down the political geography into extra levels (And there were a few maps that I was looking at) that could work too...

We like maps and discussion of maps. Smiley

BTW: Didn't have a chance to run numbers yet on the map that I threw out as first attempt, so maybe Coastal might be better than Midlands, but....
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #10 on: August 11, 2016, 07:17:48 PM »
« Edited: August 11, 2016, 10:17:35 PM by evergreenarbor »

She'll do best in the Black Belt and coastal regions.

Since people are asking for maps and I like maps, here's what I think the county map might look like, assuming Trump wins 51-46-3:



And here's a map of what I think Clinton's vote share will be in each county:



I used standard Atlas scaling.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #11 on: August 11, 2016, 07:36:37 PM »

She'll do best in the Black Belt and coastal regions.

Since people are asking for maps and I like maps, here's what I think the county map might look like, assuming Trump wins 51-46-3:



And here's a map of what I think Clinton's vote share will be in each county:




Nice---- assuming you are looking at a uniform swing?

Still think there is a decent chance that Georgetown and Beaufort counties flip if the elections were held tomorrow.

Also, not quite sure the % scale is for the color schemes.... I'm assuming you are using standard Atlas scaling, but wouldn't mind a legend to go with the maps. Smiley
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #12 on: August 11, 2016, 10:17:04 PM »

She'll do best in the Black Belt and coastal regions.

Since people are asking for maps and I like maps, here's what I think the county map might look like, assuming Trump wins 51-46-3:



And here's a map of what I think Clinton's vote share will be in each county:




Nice---- assuming you are looking at a uniform swing?

Still think there is a decent chance that Georgetown and Beaufort counties flip if the elections were held tomorrow.

Also, not quite sure the % scale is for the color schemes.... I'm assuming you are using standard Atlas scaling, but wouldn't mind a legend to go with the maps. Smiley

Looking at a more or less uniform swing because I'm too lazy to figure out a county-by-county swing. I did have the northwestern part of the state swing a little bit towards Trump.

I'm assuming that the election will tighten a little between today and Election Day. If the election were held today, I think Clinton would have a decent chance of winning SC.

I used standard Atlas scaling. I'll update my post to reflect that.
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Devils30
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« Reply #13 on: August 11, 2016, 10:29:05 PM »

Clinton will need to post big gains in Charleston, Beaufort on the coast. As in winning Charleston by 15%, and making Beaufort single digits. She'll also need to get 70% in Richland, improve in Lexington and York counties with white college grads. Also needs to improve in Greenville a bit. A lot of the rural counties will not swing at all from 2012 because they are so inelastic.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #14 on: August 11, 2016, 10:37:47 PM »

She'll do best in the Black Belt and coastal regions.

Since people are asking for maps and I like maps, here's what I think the county map might look like, assuming Trump wins 51-46-3:



And here's a map of what I think Clinton's vote share will be in each county:




Nice---- assuming you are looking at a uniform swing?

Still think there is a decent chance that Georgetown and Beaufort counties flip if the elections were held tomorrow.

Also, not quite sure the % scale is for the color schemes.... I'm assuming you are using standard Atlas scaling, but wouldn't mind a legend to go with the maps. Smiley

Looking at a more or less uniform swing because I'm too lazy to figure out a county-by-county swing. I did have the northwestern part of the state swing a little bit towards Trump.

I'm assuming that the election will tighten a little between today and Election Day. If the election were held today, I think Clinton would have a decent chance of winning SC.

I used standard Atlas scaling. I'll update my post to reflect that.

My bad.... posted a ton of maps during the primaries and had requests to change everything from color schemes and shading to reflect standard Atlas formatting....

Still haven't figured out exactly what that is. Sad

If you could link to any thread on that for future reference would be greatly appreciated. Smiley
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #15 on: August 11, 2016, 10:46:03 PM »

She'll do best in the Black Belt and coastal regions.

Since people are asking for maps and I like maps, here's what I think the county map might look like, assuming Trump wins 51-46-3:



And here's a map of what I think Clinton's vote share will be in each county:




Nice---- assuming you are looking at a uniform swing?

Still think there is a decent chance that Georgetown and Beaufort counties flip if the elections were held tomorrow.

Also, not quite sure the % scale is for the color schemes.... I'm assuming you are using standard Atlas scaling, but wouldn't mind a legend to go with the maps. Smiley

Looking at a more or less uniform swing because I'm too lazy to figure out a county-by-county swing. I did have the northwestern part of the state swing a little bit towards Trump.

I'm assuming that the election will tighten a little between today and Election Day. If the election were held today, I think Clinton would have a decent chance of winning SC.

I used standard Atlas scaling. I'll update my post to reflect that.

My bad.... posted a ton of maps during the primaries and had requests to change everything from color schemes and shading to reflect standard Atlas formatting....

Still haven't figured out exactly what that is. Sad

If you could link to any thread on that for future reference would be greatly appreciated. Smiley

Here's a map of the 2012 results by county. The key is in the lower right.

 
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #16 on: August 12, 2016, 09:38:24 AM »

Beaufort will probably swing more to Clinton than you have, but not enuf to put it in her column. Conversely, Chester will likely swing less, causing it stay Republican rather than be majority Clinton. As a general rule expect less swing in rural counties than the state as a whole.
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