538: What a Clinton landslide would look like
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  538: What a Clinton landslide would look like
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Author Topic: 538: What a Clinton landslide would look like  (Read 2802 times)
Ogre Mage
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« Reply #25 on: August 14, 2016, 04:24:03 AM »
« edited: August 14, 2016, 04:35:29 AM by Ogre Mage »

How many Senate seats would Democrats pick up with each of these maps?

Map 1:  I would guess a net pickup of +5 (most likely IL, WI, NH, PA and IN)
Map 2:  I would guess a net pickup of +7 or +8 (add 2 or 3 of FL, NC, MO, AZ and OH)
Map 3:  er ... hmm ... double digit gains ...
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politicallefty
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« Reply #26 on: August 14, 2016, 04:37:30 AM »

How many Senate seats would Democrats pick up with each of these maps?

Map 1:  I would guess a net pickup of +5 (most likely IL, WI, NH, PA and IN)
Map 2:  I would guess a net pickup of +7 (add 2 of either FL, NC, AZ and OH)
Map 3:  er ... hmm ... we might get into double digit gains

I think the Senate is secure with any of those scenarios. With results like those, it isn't how many Senate seats Democrats will pick up, it's how many House seats. If that number is near or at or even exceeds 30, the Republican Party is in big trouble.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #27 on: August 14, 2016, 06:42:57 AM »

In the beautiful 16-point HRC landslide, I'm curious as to why Nate believes South Dakota would go blue/Atlas red and North Dakota wouldn't? Aren't the states almost exactly mirror images of one another?

He says in the article that North Dakota has moved a bit to the right after the oil boom.
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #28 on: August 14, 2016, 07:56:29 AM »

In the beautiful 16-point HRC landslide, I'm curious as to why Nate believes South Dakota would go blue/Atlas red and North Dakota wouldn't? Aren't the states almost exactly mirror images of one another?

He says in the article that North Dakota has moved a bit to the right after the oil boom.

Thanks. I didn't read the article, just had time to glance at the maps before work picked up! Lesson learned: read the article. Smiley
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CanadianObserver
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« Reply #29 on: August 14, 2016, 10:03:13 AM »

In all three scenarios, Trump does worse than Romney and McCain. And he called them bad candidates.
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