Atlas Polling Map thread (2016/11/07: Clinton 224, Trump 191)
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Author Topic: Atlas Polling Map thread (2016/11/07: Clinton 224, Trump 191)  (Read 7119 times)
MT Treasurer
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« Reply #25 on: September 12, 2016, 08:13:45 AM »
2016/09/12

Iowa: Tossup --> Lean Republican



Clinton - 264 EVs
Trump - 181 EVs

Too close to call - 93 EVs
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #26 on: September 12, 2016, 12:11:29 PM »
On a short-term basis probably yes (in Trump's favor). But I expect this to change after the first debate will show that the Trumpster has no clue about policy and his words are empty talk.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #27 on: September 13, 2016, 04:42:28 PM »
« Edited: September 13, 2016, 04:55:36 PM by TN volunteer »
2016/09/13

Texas: Likely Republican --> Tossup (enjoy it while it lasts Tongue)



Clinton - 264 EVs
Trump - 143 EVs

Too close to call - 131 EVs
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #28 on: September 13, 2016, 04:52:01 PM »
Trump's EV count surges all the way to tie his lowest on record! Trumpmentum!
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Dabeav
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« Reply #29 on: September 13, 2016, 05:01:05 PM »
Surprising Iowa is remaining that close.
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Xing
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« Reply #30 on: September 13, 2016, 05:02:27 PM »
Colorado, Georgia, and Texas are toss-ups, but Iowa is Lean R!? lol
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #31 on: September 13, 2016, 05:47:30 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 13, 2016, 05:02:27 PM
Colorado, Georgia, and Texas are toss-ups, but Iowa is Lean R!? lol

The 272 freiwal holds!
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #32 on: September 14, 2016, 08:01:42 PM »
« Edited: September 14, 2016, 08:04:50 PM by TN volunteer »
2016/09/14

South Carolina: Lean Republican --> Likely Republican
Kansas: Likely Republican --> Safe Republican



Clinton - 264 EVs
Trump - 143 EVs

Too close to call - 131 EVs
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AmericanNation
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« Reply #33 on: September 15, 2016, 08:14:17 AM »
« Edited: September 15, 2016, 08:16:14 AM by AmericanNation »
This week's polling.
North Carolina is probably the next to move, maybe Pennsylvania.  



Trump - 259 EVs
Clinton - 214 EVs
Too close to call - 65 EVs
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #34 on: September 15, 2016, 01:48:38 PM »
« Edited: September 15, 2016, 06:36:32 PM by TN volunteer »
2016/09/15

Texas: Tossup --> Likely Republican
Georgia: Tossup --> Lean Republican
Ohio: Tossup --> Lean Republican
Missouri: Likely Republican --> Safe Republican



Clinton - 264 EVs
Trump - 215 EVs

Too close to call - 59 EVs
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #35 on: September 15, 2016, 02:08:25 PM »
Looks about right for today.

CO should be pink though and WI red.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #36 on: September 15, 2016, 02:18:59 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 15, 2016, 02:08:25 PM
Looks about right for today.

CO should be pink though and WI red.

Wisconsin is the 2nd least likely D state on 538 NowCast.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #37 on: September 18, 2016, 01:29:18 AM »
2016/09/17

Minnesota: Safe Democratic --> Likely Democratic
Pennsylvania: Lean Democratic --> Likely Democratic



Clinton - 264 EVs
Trump - 215 EVs

Too close to call - 59 EVs
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #38 on: September 18, 2016, 03:26:48 AM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 18, 2016, 01:29:18 AM
2016/09/17

Minnesota: Safe Democratic --> Likely Democratic
Pennsylvania: Lean Democratic --> Likely Democratic



Clinton - 264 EVs
Trump - 215 EVs

Too close to call - 59 EVs

why ME-2 is red(democratic)?
TRUMP took +5~10% leads in September Polls,
And even Liberal's hero 'Nate Silver' admits, TRUMP has 64.5% Chance of winning

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/maine-2/
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #39 on: September 20, 2016, 03:36:04 PM »
2016/09/20

Maine: Likely Democratic --> Tossup
Nevada: Tossup --> Lean Republican

Florida: Tossup --> Lean Democratic



Clinton - 289 EVs
Trump - 221 EVs

Too close to call - 28 EVs
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elcorazon
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« Reply #40 on: September 20, 2016, 03:49:14 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 20, 2016, 03:36:04 PM
2016/09/20

Maine: Likely Democratic --> Tossup
Nevada: Tossup --> Lean Republican

Florida: Tossup --> Lean Democratic



Clinton - 289 EVs
Trump - 221 EVs

Too close to call - 28 EVs
that's just weird to see Maine the only NE state that's a tossup. FL leaning D while Maine and Colorado are tossups
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #41 on: September 21, 2016, 09:15:22 PM »
2016/09/21

North Carolina: Tossup --> Lean Republican
New Hampshire: Lean Democratic --> Likely Democratic



Clinton - 289 EVs
Trump - 236 EVs

Too close to call - 13 EVs
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Enduro
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« Reply #42 on: September 21, 2016, 09:51:35 PM »
Thank you for this. It's a very helpful tool.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #43 on: September 22, 2016, 01:47:21 AM »
So how long will it be until NC is corrected back to toss-up? Three days? A week?
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #44 on: September 22, 2016, 06:38:46 PM »
2016/09/22

Florida: Leans Democratic --> Tossup
Iowa: Lean Republican --> Likely Republican

North Carolina: Lean Republican --> Tossup
Virginia: Lean Democratic --> Likely Democratic



Clinton - 260 EVs
Trump - 221 EVs

Too close to call - 57 EVs
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #45 on: September 25, 2016, 11:53:57 PM »
2016/09/25

Georgia: Lean Republican --> Likely Republican



Clinton - 260 EVs
Trump - 221 EVs

Too close to call - 57 EVs
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Hilldog
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« Reply #46 on: September 25, 2016, 11:59:16 PM »
This looks about right.  Based on experience if Trump wins the lighter blue states on your map, he'd win NC and FL.  Colorado is becoming more and more important. 
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Kempros
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« Reply #47 on: September 26, 2016, 01:15:18 PM »
Thank you for the updates IndyRep!
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #48 on: September 26, 2016, 01:56:42 PM »
2016/09/26

Pennsylvania: Likely Democratic --> Tossup



Clinton - 240 EVs
Trump - 221 EVs

Too close to call - 77 EVs
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #49 on: September 28, 2016, 10:06:23 AM »
« Edited: September 29, 2016, 01:04:15 PM by TN volunteer »
2016/09/28

Since someone entered the MN and UT polls into the database...

Minnesota: Likely Democratic --> Tossup
Utah: Safe Republican --> Likely Republican



Clinton - 230 EVs
Trump - 221 EVs

Too close to call - 87 EVs
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