Most Democratic and Republican State Each Election
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Author Topic: Most Democratic and Republican State Each Election  (Read 1283 times)
RINO Tom
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« on: August 14, 2016, 08:58:07 PM »
« edited: August 14, 2016, 09:57:43 PM by RINO Tom »

Thought this would be interesting to compile, especially after that thread with everyone's guess for what 2016's would be.  Here is a list of the most Democratic and most Republican state in each election since 1856 ("most" is defined by highest percent, not margin).  For the 1860 election, the Northern Democratic ticket was treated as the Democrats.

1856  AR     VT
1860  NJ     VT
1864  KY     VT
1868  KY     VT
1872  TX      VT
1876  GA     VT
1880  SC     VT
1884  SC     VT
1888  SC     VT
1892  FL      VT
1896  MS    VT
1900  SC     VT
1904  MS    VT
1908  SC    VT
1912  SC    UT
1916  SC    VT
1920  SC    ND
1924  SC    VT
1928  SC    KS
1932  SC    VT
1936  SC    VT
1940  MS    SD
1944  MS    KS
1948  TX     VT
1952  GA     VT
1956  GA     VT
1960  RI      NE
1964  RI      MS
1968  RI      NE
1972  MA     MS
1976  GA     UT
1980  GA     UT
1984  MN     UT
1988  RI      UT
1992  AR     MS
1996  MA     UT
2000  RI      WY
2004  MA     UT
2008  HI      OK
2012  HI      UT

Here is how I am defining our regions (West = Blue, Green = South, Midwest = Pink and Northeast = Red), and a list by region:



1856  South  Northeast
1860  Northeast  Northeast
1864  South  Northeast
1868  South  Northeast
1872  South  Northeast
1876  South  Northeast
1880  South  Northeast
1884  South  Northeast
1888  South  Northeast
1892  South  Northeast
1896  South  Northeast
1900  South  Northeast
1904  South  Northeast
1908  South  Northeast
1912  South  West
1916  South  Northeast
1920  South  Midwest
1924  South  Northeast
1928  South  Midwest
1932  South  Northeast
1936  South  Northeast
1940  South  Midwest
1944  South  Midwest
1948  South  Northeast
1952  South  Northeast
1956  South  Northeast
1960  Northeast  Midwest
1964  Northeast  South
1968  Northeast  Midwest
1972  Northeast  South
1976  South  West
1980  South  West
1984  Midwest  West
1988  Northeast  West
1992  South  South
1996  Northeast  West
2000  Northeast  West
2004  Northeast  West
2008  West  South
2012  West  West
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TDAS04
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« Reply #1 on: August 14, 2016, 09:12:07 PM »

Nice work.

In 1860, Texas was arguably the most Democratic.  Even if you don't count the Southern Democratic ticket, Douglas actually got a higher percentage in a number of Northern states, so by your definition of "most", it's not Missouri.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #2 on: August 14, 2016, 09:23:08 PM »
« Edited: August 14, 2016, 09:56:55 PM by RINO Tom »

Nice work.

In 1860, Texas was arguably the most Democratic.  Even if you don't count the Southern Democratic ticket, Douglas actually got a higher percentage in a number of Northern states, so by your definition of "most", it's not Missouri.

I should have clarified, sorry: I did consider it a necessity for the candidate to have won that state for it to count.

Also, an interesting note: 1992 (the South) and 2012 (the West) were the only elections where each party's best state was in the same region.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #3 on: August 14, 2016, 09:37:58 PM »

^ And 2012 (UT/HI)
also: even if you require winning the state, Douglas did better in NJ.
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: August 14, 2016, 09:39:34 PM »

It's interesting how often the same states come up. While it's almost certain UT won't be the most Republican this year, it could be another state that was the most Republican fairly recently, like OK or WY, and the most Democratic state might be HI again.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #5 on: August 14, 2016, 09:56:20 PM »

^ And 2012 (UT/HI)
also: even if you require winning the state, Douglas did better in NJ.

Ah good point, I'll edit that post!  And I guess I wasn't sure on NJ since Lincoln won the electoral votes 4 to 3, but I suppose I can change that one (which would, again, provide us with another example of two states in the same region).  Just seemed right to pick Missouri since it was the only state he won the electoral votes of, but I guess I can change it!
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Figueira
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« Reply #6 on: August 14, 2016, 10:22:50 PM »

1992 appears to be the only election where the two states bordered on each other. Does anyone know what was going on in MS that year? Why did Clinton do so badly there, when he was doing unusually well in other Southern states?
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nclib
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« Reply #7 on: August 14, 2016, 10:34:57 PM »

Perot took away a smaller percentage of (disproportionately) Republican voters in Deep South, leaving a higher Bush vote in Mississippi than in the Mountain West.
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anthonyjg
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« Reply #8 on: August 15, 2016, 12:04:32 AM »

Perot took away a smaller percentage of (disproportionately) Republican voters in Deep South, leaving a higher Bush vote in Mississippi than in the Mountain West.
Any particular reason for this?
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AuH2O Republican
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« Reply #9 on: August 15, 2016, 05:25:32 AM »

What did Truman do in Texas that any other Democrat couldn't?*
(* excluding Horace Greeley here as he was technically a Liberal Republican)
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TDAS04
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« Reply #10 on: August 15, 2016, 12:40:47 PM »

What did Truman do in Texas that any other Democrat couldn't?*
(* excluding Horace Greeley here as he was technically a Liberal Republican)

Strom Thurmond took a smaller share of the Democratic vote in Texas than he did in other Southern states.
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Sedona
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« Reply #11 on: August 15, 2016, 01:45:54 PM »

I think Hawaii will once more be the most Democratic state this year.  I doubt Utah or Wyoming will be the most Republican with Trump at the top of the ticket.  It could end up being West Virginia, or maybe Oklahoma.
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LLR
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« Reply #12 on: August 15, 2016, 08:48:38 PM »

As of this year, I think:

D: Vermont or Hawai'i, possibly New York
R: Oklahoma, West Virginia, maybe Wyoming or NE-3
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nclib
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« Reply #13 on: August 18, 2016, 08:04:25 PM »

Perot took away a smaller percentage of (disproportionately) Republican voters in Deep South, leaving a higher Bush vote in Mississippi than in the Mountain West.
Any particular reason for this?

The Deep South generally votes less for non-race related third parties. Also, Republicans who voted Perot in 1992 were generally less socially conservative than Republicans who voted for Bush, which would lead to fewer Perot voters in the Deep South.
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