Where will Trump finish third?

[mencken]

I think New Mexico and Colorado are decent, if unlikely possibilities. Any other states where Johnson is likely to do well are too Republican-leaning to envision Clinton winning.

[uti2]

I think New Mexico and Colorado are decent, if unlikely possibilities. Any other states where Johnson is likely to do well are too Republican-leaning to envision Clinton winning.

The only possible state is Vermont, but it would be more likely Stein there finishing second. Remember that half of Johnson's supporters are angry Bernie voters using him as a protest vote, not Republicans. Although this is still unlikely.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

DC (behind Johnson and/or Stein) & UT (behind McMuffin)

[Senator-elect Spark]

D.C. & Vermont

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Possibly DC:

Clinton 88%
Johnson 6%
Trump 5%
Stein/Other 1%

And nowhere else.  Worst case scenario for Trump in Utah is probably

Clinton 38%
Trump 34%
Johnson 25%
Stein/Other 3%

Worst case scenario for Trump in VT:

Clinton 66%
Trump 23%
Johnson 6%
Stein 5%

[Gass3268]

DC could be a lock

[Mallow]

Possibly DC:

Clinton 88%
Johnson 6%
Trump 5%
Stein/Other 1%

And nowhere else.  Worst case scenario for Trump in Utah is probably

Clinton 38%
Trump 34%
Johnson 25%
Stein/Other 3%

Worst case scenario for Trump in VT:

Clinton 66%
Trump 23%
Johnson 6%
Stein 5%

This.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Quite possibly DC. Maybe Utah if the leaders of that state's Republican party rally around McMullin.

If his support completely bottoms out (30% nationally or so) maybe it would throw a state like New Mexico or Colorado into play, but where the race stands right now I don't think those are realistic options.

[evergreenarbor]

Probably only DC. If Trump is in third anywhere else, Clinton is winning in the biggest landslide since 1984.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

We ought to talk about counties where this will happen. Maybe something in Vermont or northern California somewhere? The Bronx maybe? Maybe even Denver or something?

Certainly there will be precincts where this happens. If there isn't, I'll eat my hat.

[Hnv1]

We ought to talk about counties where this will happen. Maybe something in Vermont or northern California somewhere? The Bronx maybe? Maybe even Denver or something?

Certainly there will be precincts where this happens. If there isn't, I'll eat my hat.

There were some precincts in Seattle where Romney finished third to Stein in 2012, so it will surely happen now in larger numbers. I could see him finishing third in DC, SF, Dane county WI - basically urban\very Liberal area where the local republicans are hardcore moderates or classic liberals

[Seriously?]

Nowhere. There is zero narrative in the polling suggesting a third-place finish. No matter how much you personally, hate Trump, he'll finish second in blue states, including hopeless DC.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I also wonder if Hillary might finish third in any counties. Maybe the county in Texas where Obama got 5 votes?

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

I doubt he'll finish second in any state, although in certain ones he may be barely ahead for the second place. There are several counties, however, where I can see Johnson pulling 2nd.

I doubt Johnson would carry any counties on his own. Even in a genuine nationwide three-way race as 1992 Perot managed to get just a few.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

McMuffin

Success!

As to the question, DC isn't a state, but I could see at least Johnson beating him there. Not sure if Stein would though.

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

Montana? It was Johnson's 2nd best state in 2012.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

We ought to talk about counties where this will happen. Maybe something in Vermont or northern California somewhere? The Bronx maybe? Maybe even Denver or something?

Certainly there will be precincts where this happens. If there isn't, I'll eat my hat.

I'm keeping an eye on Los Alamos County, New Mexico. Trump got barely 50% of the vote there in the primary after all of his opponents had already been out of the race for at least a month. Over 20% of the votes went to Kasich and more than 5% went to Jeb. Add to it all the fact that Johnson is from New Mexico, and I can see a path to Trump taking third in that county.

[Wisconsin+17]

Utah and DC are the only remote possibilities. He's not gonna finish worse than down 15 to Hillary.