Ticket splitting in Indiana

[Bismarck]

This election in Indiana is interesting because it's possible to imagine many different combinations in voting. For example a Trump- Bayh - Gregg voter, a Clinton- Young- Holcomb voter, and a Trump- Bayh- Holcomb voter all seem very likely. Can you guys think of any other state like this?

[ElectionsGuy]

What boggles my mind is that Donald Trump is the most likely Republican across those three races to win.

[IceSpear]

What boggles my mind is that Donald Trump is the most likely Republican across those three races to win.

I think Holcomb might be in better shape than Trump once he gets more name recognition.

Speaking of names, why did you change yours? lol

[Heisenberg]

This election in Indiana is interesting because it's possible to imagine many different combinations in voting. For example a Trump- Bayh - Gregg voter, a Clinton- Young- Holcomb voter, and a Trump- Bayh- Holcomb voter all seem very likely. Can you guys think of any other state like this?

No, I can't. Trump-Bayh-Gregg people are likely rural Democrats attracted by Trump's economic policies. Clinton-Young-Holcomb (or Gary Johnson) would be the NeverTrumpers. Trump-Bayh-Holcomb would be a generic Republican who crosses over for Bayh. I can also see Clinton-Bayh-Holcomb (NeverTrump Republican crossing over for Bayh). Clinton-Young-Gregg is also an imaginable combination, Young is a like able person with a good story, relatively moderate (Main Street Partnership member) and has recently been known for his work to help relieve student loan debt. Most of those would be younger (no pun intended) voters who are left-leaning, but too young to remember Bayh, and are turned off by his connections to the lobbyists, and turned on to Young because of his stance on student loans. I'm sure some people will also vote some of the other combinations, but those are harder to imagine.

[ElectionsGuy]

What boggles my mind is that Donald Trump is the most likely Republican across those three races to win.

I think Holcomb might be in better shape than Trump once he gets more name recognition.

Speaking of names, why did you change yours? lol

LLR suggested it. It'll be temporary

[JMT]

I never truly thought about this! Interesting point. And Mike Pence being the VP candidate could even potentially throw in another curveball (although I'm not too convinced people will vote based on who is at the bottom of the presidential ticket)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I would be a Clinton-Young-Gregg voter. Bayh's just a lobbyist and a subverter of democracy who abandoned the state because he was afraid of losing.

[Bismarck]

Yeah I think the Indy suburbs, places like Hamilton, Boone, and Hendricks counties may even see Trump run behind Young and Holcomb. Places like Vermillion county, or Vigo or Sullivan will have lots of people who pull Trump but vote democrat down ballot.

[Kingpoleon]

In 2004(Bayh and Bush), 2008(Obama, Daniels) and 2012(Obama, Pence, Donnelly) there was massive ticket splitting.

[Heisenberg]

In 2004(Bayh and Bush), 2008(Obama, Daniels) and 2012(ObamaRomney, Pence, Donnelly) there was massive ticket splitting.

Fixed 2012 for you. Also, add 2000(Bush, O'Bannon, Lugar).

Edit: Fixed the slashing.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

In 2004(Bayh and Bush), 2008(Obama, Daniels) and 2012(ObamaRomney, Pence, Donnelly) there was massive ticket splitting.

Fixed 2012 for you. Also, add 2000(Bush, O'Bannon, Lugar).

There were also a number of Romney/Gregg/Donnelly voters in '12, it seems.

IN 2012:

Romney - 54.13%
Obama - 43.93%

Pence - 49.67%
Gregg - 46.46%

Donnelly - 50.04%
Mourdock - 44.28%